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Daifuku Co (DAIUF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $16.4B

DC Daifuku Co logo Daifuku Co DAIUF · US
Price$45.31
Fair Value$27.53
Upside-39.2%
Quality68/100
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Moderate moat 62/100
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Evidence: High Range $20.74 – $33.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $27.65 to $27.53 (−0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($33.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.21 $14.03 Fair Value $27.53 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.03 – $48.21 · fair‑value band $20.74 – $33.57 · the $45.31 price screens above the $27.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Daifuku Co (DAIUF) currently trades at $45.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.53, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Daifuku Co generated revenue of $673B at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 35.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.74 (bear case) to $33.57 (bull case); at $45.31, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -39%, DAIUF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $28.02 $43.20 $67.35 80
Residual Income $9.06 $11.95 $39.64 76
Rev-Margin DCF $22.14 $33.05 $46.19 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.80 $43.31 $68.08 38
5Y Revenue Exit $22.14 $33.01 $47.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $23.03 $34.74 $48.56 41
5Y P/E Exit $24.05 $36.71 $50.30 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.40 $34.01 $48.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.49 $35.23 $49.86 37
10Y P/E Exit $25.15 $36.63 $51.23 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.36 $34.00 $45.86 54
Lynch FV $8.07 $11.54 $15.00 50
PEG = 1.0 $8.07 $11.54 $15.00 46
EPV $18.25 $20.70 $22.84 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.65 $27.53 $34.41 63
P/S Multiple $17.55 $23.40 $29.25 58
P/B Multiple $17.55 $23.40 $29.25 55
EV/EBIT $27.67 $35.72 $43.76 53
EV/EBITDA $22.47 $28.78 $35.09 54
EV/Revenue $19.81 $26.78 $33.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.98 $5.33 $7.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.02 $43.20 $67.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $22.14 $33.05 $46.19 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.06 $11.95 $39.64 76
ROIC Compounder $19.46 $23.68 $28.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.81 $21.16 $27.51 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($35.23) versus Asset-Based ($5.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $673B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 18.4%
Free cash flow $116B FY2026
P/E ratio 35.2
More key figures
Operating margin 15.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.27
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daifuku Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, engineering, design, manufacture, installation, and after-sales services for material handling systems, car wash machines, and other related equipment in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Daifuku Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides consulting, engineering, design, manufacture, installation, and after-sales services for material handling systems, car wash machines, and other related equipment in Japan and internationally. The company offers storage, transport, sorting, and picking systems to distributors and manufacturers, including e-commerce, retailers, wholesalers, transportation, and warehousing customers, as well as to food, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals manufacturers. It also provides cleanroom transport and storage systems for the manufacturing of semiconductors and flat panel displays; systems for automobile production line systems; airport solutions, including baggage handling systems, automated baggage check-in systems, baggage screening systems, and software and controls; car wash machines and related products to filling stations and automobile dealers; and industrial computers, measuring/control systems, and IoT solutions. The company was formerly known as Daifuku Machinery Works Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Daifuku Co., Ltd. in 1984. Daifuku Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1937 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Daifuku Co reported revenue of $661B in FY2026 versus $474B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $78.1B in FY2026, compounding +19.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$661B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+8.7%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 $474B
FY22 $512B
FY23 $602B
FY24 $611B
FY26 $661B
Net income +19.2%/yr
FY21 $32.4B
FY22 $35.9B
FY23 $41.2B
FY24 $45.5B
FY26 $78.1B

DAIUF screens 39% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daifuku Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAIUF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 879 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.2× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 39 · sector 23
PAST 74 · sector 27
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%
Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co 301200 ¥303.01 ¥37.62 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daifuku Co (DAIUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.53 versus a price of $45.31, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAIUF?
Our model-based fair value for Daifuku Co is $27.53 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $45.31.
What is the quality score of DAIUF?
Daifuku Co has a Quality Score of 68/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Daifuku Co (DAIUF)?
Daifuku Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $673B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DAIUF?
The net profit margin of Daifuku Co is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daifuku Co pay a dividend?
Daifuku Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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