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Dan Hotels (DANH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dan Hotels ILS 6.26, price ILS 26.56, upside -76.5%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · Il · ISIN IL0008220159

DH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Dan Hotels

DANH · TA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 6.26 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−76%)
!Quality 28/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

40.34 ILA 20.29 ILA Fair Value 6.26 ILA Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 20.29 ILA – 40.34 ILA · fair‑value band 4.67 ILA – 9.34 ILA · the 26.56 ILA price screens above the 6.26 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Dan Hotels Ltd owns and operates a chain of hotels in Israel. The company operates business and VIP lounges at Ben Gurion Airport. It also owns and manages commercial and apartments at "King David Towers' in Tel Aviv, as well as owns a third of the Panorama Mall commercial center in Haifa.

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Dan Hotels Ltd owns and operates a chain of hotels in Israel. The company operates business and VIP lounges at Ben Gurion Airport. It also owns and manages commercial and apartments at "King David Towers' in Tel Aviv, as well as owns a third of the Panorama Mall commercial center in Haifa. In addition, the company operates schools, hotel service and culinary arts; and provides catering services, as well as rents real estate properties. Further, it engages in insurance business. Dan Hotels Ltd was founded in 1947 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. Dan Hotels Ltd is a subsidiary of Federmann Enterprises Ltd.

Stock analysis

Dan Hotels (DANH) currently trades at 26.56 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.26 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 324.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.39 ILA per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 26.56 ILA price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.52 ILA, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 4.67 ILA (bear) to 9.34 ILA (bull), the price of 26.56 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Dan Hotels reported revenue of 1.6B ILS in FY2025 versus 971M ILS in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.0M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.7B ILA · P/S ratio 2.39 · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 ILA · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity −0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin −22.0% · Revenue (TTM) 1.6B ILA.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −76%, DANH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 4.67 ILA Fair Value 6.26 ILA Bull 9.34 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 2.20 ILA 2.52 ILA 2.80 ILA 74
ROIC Compounder 2.20 ILA 2.52 ILA 2.80 ILA 72
EV/EBITDA 12.91 ILA 17.16 ILA 21.42 ILA 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 2.20 ILA 2.52 ILA 2.80 ILA 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 3.53 ILA 4.65 ILA 5.78 ILA 66
EV/EBITDA 12.91 ILA 17.16 ILA 21.42 ILA 67
EV/Revenue 2.43 ILA 3.40 ILA 4.38 ILA 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.52 ILA 7.39 ILA 11.03 ILA 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 2.20 ILA 2.52 ILA 2.80 ILA 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 16
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16.1% (2020) → 1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DANH screens 325% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 167 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −22% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.79× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $348.06 $150.61 −57%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $308.44 $268.06 −13%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $154.85 $97.57 −37%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $157.80 $49.88 −68%
H World Group HTHT $43.33 $63.57 +47%
Accor SA AC €46.64 €40.27 −14%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹736.25 ₹520.82 −29%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $67.86 $29.84 −56%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 140,100 KRW 33,487 KRW −76%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $100.32 $73.41 −27%

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Dan Hotels · Fair Value
6.26 ILA −325%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dan Hotels Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DANH

Frequently asked questions

Is Dan Hotels (DANH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.26 ILA versus a price of 26.56 ILA, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DANH?
Our model-based fair value for Dan Hotels is 6.26 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 26.56 ILA.
What is the quality score of DANH?
Dan Hotels has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.26 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.67 ILA, optimistic scenario 9.34 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dan Hotels stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.26 ILA, about −76% upside versus a price of 26.56 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.67 ILA, optimistic scenario 9.34 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Dan Hotels reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dan Hotels it is 6.26 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 26.56 ILA. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dan Hotels stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DANH trades above its calculated fair value: price 26.56 ILA, fair value 6.26 ILA, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DANH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (26.56 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.26 ILA). For Dan Hotels the two are 20.30 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dan Hotels worth?
The market values Dan Hotels at about 3.7B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 26.56 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 6.26 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DANH?
Our models span a range for Dan Hotels: cautious scenario 4.67 ILA, base 6.26 ILA, optimistic 9.34 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 26.56 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dan Hotels (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.9%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DANH from its 52-week high?
Dan Hotels trades at 26.56 ILA, about 34% below its 52-week high of 40.34 ILA and 7% above the low of 24.80 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.26 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dan Hotels?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dan Hotels stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 26.56 ILA, calculated fair value 6.26 ILA (−76%), Quality Score 28/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DANH calculated?
We run Dan Hotels through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.26 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dan Hotels itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 26.56 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 6.26 ILA, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dan Hotels right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.34 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (4.67 ILA to 9.34 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Dan Hotels (DANH) come from?
Earnings per share at Dan Hotels grew −0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin −3.1 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Dan Hotels

How large is the market capitalisation of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The market capitalisation of Dan Hotels is 3.7B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dan Hotels is 2.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Earnings per share at Dan Hotels are −0.1100 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The net margin of Dan Hotels is −0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dan Hotels is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dan Hotels is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dan Hotels (DANH)?
The operating margin of Dan Hotels is −22.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Revenue at Dan Hotels is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dan Hotels (DANH)?
Earnings per share at Dan Hotels are growing −12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dan Hotels (DANH) generate?
The free cash flow of Dan Hotels is −53.0M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dan Hotels (DANH) carry?
The net debt of Dan Hotels is 687M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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