Dan Hotels Ltd (DANH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Il · Market cap 3.7B ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −9.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.85 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (9.94 ILA to 19.85 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 21.65 ILA – 43.05 ILA · fair‑value band 9.94 ILA – 19.85 ILA · the 30.00 ILA price screens above the 13.30 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Dan Hotels Ltd (DANH) currently trades at 30.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.30 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 55.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dan Hotels Ltd generated revenue of 1.6B ILA at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 23.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. Net debt stands at 687M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.94 ILA (bear case) to 19.85 ILA (bull case); at 30.00 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -56%, DANH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (7.39 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (2.26 ILA). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dan Hotels Ltd owns and operates a chain of hotels in Israel. The company operates business and VIP lounges at Ben Gurion Airport. It also owns and manages commercial and apartments at "King David Towers' in Tel Aviv, as well as owns a third of the Panorama Mall commercial center in Haifa.
Full company description
Dan Hotels Ltd owns and operates a chain of hotels in Israel. The company operates business and VIP lounges at Ben Gurion Airport. It also owns and manages commercial and apartments at "King David Towers' in Tel Aviv, as well as owns a third of the Panorama Mall commercial center in Haifa. In addition, the company operates schools, hotel service and culinary arts; and provides catering services, as well as rents real estate properties. Further, it engages in insurance business. Dan Hotels Ltd was founded in 1947 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. Dan Hotels Ltd is a subsidiary of Federmann Enterprises Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dan Hotels Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B ILA in FY2025 versus 971M ILA in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.0M ILA in FY2025.
DANH screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 170 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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