Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Duxton Farms Ltd A$0.73, price A$0.36, upside +105.6%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3400 – A$1.49 · fair‑value band A$0.3300 – A$1.27 · the A$0.3550 price screens below the A$0.7300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Duxton Farms Limited engages in the sowing and harvesting of dryland and irrigated crops primarily in Australia. It is also involved in the infrastructure maintenance and upgrade; trading and breeding of livestock; and sale of grains, pulses, and lucerne.
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In addition, the company offers hay, cotton, wheat, barley, canola, faba beans, and chick peas, as well as cattle, sheep, and wool. The company was formerly known as Duxton Broadacre Farms Limited and changed its name to Duxton Farms Limited in December 2021.
Duxton Farms Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Stirling, Australia.
Stock analysis
Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF) currently trades at A$0.3550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7300, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.6200 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.3550 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.5100, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.3300 (bear) to A$1.27 (bull), the price of A$0.3550 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Duxton Farms Ltd reported revenue of A$20.0M in FY2025 versus A$17.8M in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$12.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$38.6M (≈ $26.8M) · P/S ratio 2.79 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.3800 · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin −62.4% · Return on equity −19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin −115%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 106%, DBF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.3300Fair Value A$0.7300BullA$1.27
Price A$0.3550 · Upside +105.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.7% (2020) → −66.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+105.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−146.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−115.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)7.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7300 versus a price of A$0.3550, about +106% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DBF?
Our model-based fair value for Duxton Farms Ltd is A$0.7300 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3550.
What is the quality score of DBF?
Duxton Farms Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7300 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.3300, optimistic scenario A$1.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duxton Farms Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7300, about +106% upside versus a price of A$0.3550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3300, optimistic scenario A$1.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Duxton Farms Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$17.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Duxton Farms Ltd pay a dividend?
Duxton Farms Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duxton Farms Ltd it is A$0.7300 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.3550. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duxton Farms Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, DBF trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.3550, fair value A$0.7300, a gap of about +106% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7300). For Duxton Farms Ltd the two are A$0.3750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duxton Farms Ltd worth?
The market values Duxton Farms Ltd at about A$38.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3550; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DBF?
Our models span a range for Duxton Farms Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.3300, base A$0.7300, optimistic A$1.27 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price A$0.3550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duxton Farms Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −19.5%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DBF from its 52-week high?
Duxton Farms Ltd trades at A$0.3550, about 64% below its 52-week high of A$0.9900 and 4% above the low of A$0.3400 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duxton Farms Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duxton Farms Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price A$0.3550, calculated fair value A$0.7300 (+106%), Quality Score 31/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DBF calculated?
We run Duxton Farms Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.7300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Duxton Farms Ltd currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was A$0.3550. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7300, about +106% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duxton Farms Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.3300 to A$1.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Duxton Farms Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The market capitalisation of Duxton Farms Ltd is A$38.6M (≈ $26.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Duxton Farms Ltd is 2.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Earnings per share at Duxton Farms Ltd are A$−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The dividend yield of Duxton Farms Ltd is 7.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The net margin of Duxton Farms Ltd is −62.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duxton Farms Ltd is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duxton Farms Ltd is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
The operating margin of Duxton Farms Ltd is −115% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Revenue at Duxton Farms Ltd is growing −24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF)?
Earnings per share at Duxton Farms Ltd are growing −85.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF) generate?
The free cash flow of Duxton Farms Ltd is −A$25.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Duxton Farms Ltd (DBF) carry?
The net debt of Duxton Farms Ltd is A$19.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026