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Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dakota Gold Corp. stock $4.49, price $6.06, that is 25.9% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials US

DG Dakota Gold Corp. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Dakota Gold Corp.

DC · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 26% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 44/100
Insiders bought $100,358 (6M) · sold $709,734
Fair value $4.49 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 6/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.00 $1.87 Fair Value $4.49 Apr 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range $1.87 – $7.00 · fair‑value band $3.36 – $5.61 · the $6.06 price screens above the $4.49 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Dakota Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Lead, South Dakota.

Stock analysis

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) currently trades at $6.06, while our estimate is $4.49, 26% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $3.36 (bear) to $5.61 (bull), the price of $6.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Dakota Gold Corp. reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$29.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $811M Small · EPS (TTM) $−0.3000 · Return on equity −23.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.7% (5-year average) · Free cash flow −$25.6M · Net cash $29.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −26%, DC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $3.36 Fair Value $4.49 Bull $5.61
Price $6.06 · Downside -25.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 24
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 96
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 83
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 20
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 55
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 80
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $100,358, on May 28, 2026. Over the same period, 2 people sold shares worth $709,734.

  • SaleShawn CampbellCHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER3× since Jan 21, 2026: 78,113 shares, avg. $6.49$506,866Sep 9, 2026
  • SaleJennifer S GraftonDirector2× since May 18, 2026: 115,511 shares, avg. $6.04$698,241Aug 10, 2026
  • BuyTodd J KennerDirector17,921 shares at $5.60$100,358May 28, 2026
  • SaleRobert QuartermainCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, Director2× since Jan 23, 2026: 263,448 shares, avg. $6.82$1.8MApr 15, 2026
  • SaleJames McCoy BerryVICE PRESIDENT OF EXPLORATION12,388 shares at $7.02$86,964Feb 27, 2026

Plus 12 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DC screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

Compare Dakota Gold Corp. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −25.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.21× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $190.46 $220.88 +16% vs DC
Newmont Corporation NEM $119.96 $137.68 +15% vs DC
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $274.57 $259.27 −6% vs DC
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $93.85 $88.58 −6% vs DC
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥27.00 ¥23.61 −13% vs DC
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $21.53 $18.00 −16% vs DC
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $255.79 $212.28 −17% vs DC
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.62 $87.64 −36% vs DC
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$26.73 A$16.87 −37% vs DC
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.18 ¥15.62 −45% vs DC

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Dakota Gold Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dakota Gold Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DC

Frequently asked questions

Is Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $4.49 versus a price of $6.06, about 26% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DC?
Our estimate for Dakota Gold Corp. is $4.49 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.06.
What is the quality score of DC?
Dakota Gold Corp. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $4.49 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $3.36, optimistic scenario $5.61. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Dakota Gold Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $4.49, about 26% lower versus a price of $6.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.36, optimistic scenario $5.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dakota Gold Corp. it is $4.49 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $6.06.
Is Dakota Gold Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, DC trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.06, fair value $4.49, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.49). For Dakota Gold Corp. the two are $1.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dakota Gold Corp. worth?
The market values Dakota Gold Corp. at about $811M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $6.06; our models calculate a fair value of $4.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DC?
Our models span a range for Dakota Gold Corp.: cautious scenario $3.36, base $4.49, optimistic $5.61 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $6.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dakota Gold Corp. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −23.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DC from its 52-week high?
Dakota Gold Corp. trades at $6.06, about 13% below its 52-week high of $7.00 and 54% above the low of $3.93 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dakota Gold Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dakota Gold Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $6.06, calculated fair value $4.49 (−26%), Quality Score 44/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Dakota Gold Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $6.06. Our estimate is $4.49, about 26% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dakota Gold Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Dakota Gold Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
The market capitalisation of Dakota Gold Corp. is $811M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
Earnings per share at Dakota Gold Corp. are $−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dakota Gold Corp. is −23.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dakota Gold Corp. (DC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dakota Gold Corp. is −24.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) generate?
The free cash flow of Dakota Gold Corp. is −$25.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) hold?
Dakota Gold Corp. holds more cash than debt, $29.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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