DAUCH CORP (DCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of DAUCH CORP stock £4.84, price £3.56, upside +36.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Dauch Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments.
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The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles.
The Metal Forming segment provides range of products, such as engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway vehicles, as well as products for industrial markets.
It operates in North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. Dauch Corporation was formerly known as American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Dauch Corporation in January 2026. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
Stock analysis
DAUCH CORP (DCH) currently trades at £3.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.84, implying the stock looks roughly 26% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £10.70 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the £3.56 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at £2.66, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £4.84 (bear) to £11.76 (bull), the price of £3.56 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
DAUCH CORP reported revenue of $5.8B in FY2025 versus $5.8B in FY2022, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap £873M Small · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) £−0.9000 · Net margin −2.0% · Return on equity −15.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% (4-year average) · Operating margin 4.9% · Revenue (TTM) $8.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 36%, DCH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£4.84Fair Value £4.84Bull£11.76
Price £3.56 · Upside +36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earningsn/an/a£1.8970
5Y EBITDA Exitn/a£4.81£11.6869
EV/EBITDA£5.30£10.70£16.1164
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earningsn/an/a£1.8970
5Y EBITDA Exitn/a£4.81£11.6869
10Y EBITDA Exitn/a£0.5100>£2.0462
Multiples
EV/EBITDA£5.30£10.70£16.1164
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)£0.1400£0.1900£0.280054
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.2% (2022) → 1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+15.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
The revenue jump in 2026 (+83.1%) comes with 101% more shares (acquisition or merger paid in stock). Per share it is about −8.8%. The comparison above is unreliable in such a year.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.7% a year for the price and +12.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−2.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)92.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity6.31× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DAUCH CORP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DCH
Frequently asked questions
Is DAUCH CORP (DCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.84 versus a price of £3.56, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DCH?
Our model-based fair value for DAUCH CORP is £4.84 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £3.56.
What is the quality score of DCH?
DAUCH CORP has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £4.84 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario £4.84, optimistic scenario £11.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DAUCH CORP stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £4.84, about +36% upside versus a price of £3.56 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £4.84, optimistic scenario £11.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
DAUCH CORP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DAUCH CORP would have to grow free cash flow by +27.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +0.2 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DCH use?
Our models discount DAUCH CORP at 14.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.74, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DAUCH CORP that is +27.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DAUCH CORP (DCH) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at DAUCH CORP grew +0.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DAUCH CORP (DCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DAUCH CORP (+27.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.80 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow DAUCH CORP produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DAUCH CORP it is £4.84 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of £3.56. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is DAUCH CORP stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, DCH trades below its calculated fair value: price £3.56, fair value £4.84, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£3.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£4.84). For DAUCH CORP the two are £1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DAUCH CORP worth?
The market values DAUCH CORP at about £873M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is £3.56; our models calculate a fair value of £4.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DCH?
Our models span a range for DAUCH CORP: cautious scenario £4.84, base £4.84, optimistic £11.76 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price £3.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for DAUCH CORP (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −15.0%, debt of 6.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to DAUCH CORP?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DAUCH CORP stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price £3.56, calculated fair value £4.84 (+36%), Quality Score 24/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DCH calculated?
We run DAUCH CORP through 5 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £4.84 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. DAUCH CORP currently trades 26% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £3.56. Our model-based fair value is £4.84, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DAUCH CORP right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£4.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£4.84 to £11.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of DAUCH CORP
How large is the market capitalisation of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The market capitalisation of DAUCH CORP is £873M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DAUCH CORP is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Earnings per share at DAUCH CORP are £−0.9000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The net margin of DAUCH CORP is −2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DAUCH CORP is −15.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DAUCH CORP is 3.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
The operating margin of DAUCH CORP is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Revenue at DAUCH CORP is growing +92.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DAUCH CORP (DCH)?
Earnings per share at DAUCH CORP are growing −98.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does DAUCH CORP (DCH) carry?
The net debt of DAUCH CORP is $3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 23.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026