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Celebrus Technologies plc (DFORF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $38.1M

CT Celebrus Technologies plc logo Celebrus Technologies plc DFORF · US
Price$1.00
Fair Value$2.45
Upside+145.0%
Quality69/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
4.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $1.69 – $3.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $2.41 to $2.45 (+1.7%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 145% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.69 to $3.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.71 $1.00 Fair Value $2.45 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.00 – $3.71 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $3.77 · the $1.00 price screens below the $2.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Celebrus Technologies plc (DFORF) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.45, implying the stock looks roughly 145.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Celebrus Technologies plc generated revenue of $31.8M at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.69 (bear case) to $3.77 (bull case); at $1.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 145%, DFORF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.7800 $0.9100 $1.69 76
ROIC Compounder $1.45 $1.58 $1.71 72
Gordon GGM $0.2300 $0.3800 $0.5000 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1.72 $2.15 $2.68 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8800 $2.78 $3.71 54
Lynch FV $0.6100 $0.8700 $1.13 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.6100 $0.8700 $1.13 46
EPV $1.42 $1.51 $1.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2300 $0.3800 $0.5000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2300 $0.3400 $0.4100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.95 $2.60 $3.25 63
P/S Multiple $1.47 $1.96 $2.45 58
P/B Multiple $1.66 $2.21 $2.76 55
EV/EBIT $2.37 $2.94 $3.52 53
EV/EBITDA $2.06 $2.53 $3.01 54
EV/Revenue $1.80 $2.30 $2.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4300 $0.5800 $0.8700 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.7800 $0.9100 $1.69 76
ROIC Compounder $1.45 $1.58 $1.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.63 $2.32 $3.02 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.32) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $31.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -39.9%
Net margin 12.2%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow −$7.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin -23.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.0900
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.8%
Net cash $23.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Celebrus Technologies plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital identity and data platform in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Celebrus Technologies plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital identity and data platform in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. It offers Celebrus Data Platform, a data and digital identity technology; Celebrus Data Platform Marketing, which enables customers interact across different channels, devices, and domains; Celebrus Data Platform Fraud that provides data to prevent fraud; Celebrus Analytics and Reporting, which captures every digital interaction across devices, sessions, and domains that gives a real-time view of customer behavior; Celebrus Digital Analytics, connects the dots between visits, devices, and behaviors; and Celebrus Cloud, enables businesses to ingest and unify customer interactions across digital channels providing real-time decisioning for marketing, fraud prevention, and compliance use cases. The company also provides professional and non-celebrus managed services; and third party products. It serves financial services and banking, insurance, healthcare, retail and telecom, travel, hospitality and gaming industries. The company was formerly known as D4t4 Solutions Plc and changed its name to Celebrus Technologies plc in November 2023. Celebrus Technologies plc was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Sunbury-on-Thames, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Celebrus Technologies plc reported revenue of $29.9M in FY2025 versus $22.8M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9M in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.9M
Latest YoY
−8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 $22.8M
FY22 $24.5M
FY23 $21.4M
FY24 $32.6M
FY25 $29.9M
Net income +15.6%/yr
FY21 $2.8M
FY22 $1.7M
FY23 $2.1M
FY24 $4.0M
FY25 $4.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.3 pp

of which total revenue +9.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.7 pp

EBIT margin +0.7 pp
Tax rate −0.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Celebrus Technologies plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DFORF

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +145% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -40% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 41 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Celebrus Technologies plc (DFORF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.45 versus a price of $1.00, about +145% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DFORF?
Our model-based fair value for Celebrus Technologies plc is $2.45 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.00.
What is the quality score of DFORF?
Celebrus Technologies plc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Celebrus Technologies plc (DFORF)?
Celebrus Technologies plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DFORF?
The net profit margin of Celebrus Technologies plc is about 12.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Celebrus Technologies plc pay a dividend?
Celebrus Technologies plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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