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Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.1B

DH Diversified Healthcare Trust logo Diversified Healthcare Trust DHC · US
Price$8.82
Fair Value$6.16
Upside-30.2%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -21.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.47% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.25 – $10.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.25 to $10.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.64 $0.5890 Fair Value $6.16 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5890 – $9.64 · fair‑value band $2.25 – $10.07 · the $8.82 price screens above the $6.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) currently trades at $8.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.16, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Diversified Healthcare Trust generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of -21.1%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.9%. Net debt stands at $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.25 (bear case) to $10.07 (bull case); at $8.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 179% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -30%, DHC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.3500 $0.7000 $1.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3500 $0.6000 $0.7400 61
EV/EBITDA $2.32 $6.23 $10.14 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.3500 $0.7000 $1.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.3500 $0.6000 $0.7400 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.32 $6.23 $10.14 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.44 $4.61 $6.88 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.23) versus Dividend Discount ($0.6000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.3%
Net margin -21.1%
Return on equity -17.9%
Free cash flow −$19.6M FY2025
Operating margin -1.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.33
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -68.4%
Net debt $2.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning high-quality healthcare properties located throughout the United States. DHC seeks diversification across the health services spectrum by care delivery and practice type, by scientific research disciplines and by property type and location.

Full company description

Diversified Healthcare Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning high-quality healthcare properties located throughout the United States. DHC seeks diversification across the health services spectrum by care delivery and practice type, by scientific research disciplines and by property type and location. As of March 31, 2026, DHC's approximately 6.2 billion dollars portfolio included 285 properties in 33 states and Washington, D.C., with 23,901 senior living units, approximately 5.6 million square feet of medical office and life science properties and occupied by approximately 250 tenants. DHC is managed by The RMR Group, a leading U.S. alternative asset management company with over 37 billion dollars in assets under management as of March 31, 2026 and 40 years of institutional experience in buying, selling, financing and operating commercial real estate. DHC is headquarters in Newton, MA. Diversified Healthcare Trust was incorporated in 1998 in Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Diversified Healthcare Trust reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$286M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+11.2%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income
FY21 $175M
FY22 −$15.8M
FY23 −$294M
FY24 −$370M
FY25 −$286M

DHC screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Diversified Healthcare Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DHC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.44× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.29× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.89× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 28 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $231.59 $42.21 -82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $100.53 $18.07 -82%
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI $51.72 $33.69 -35%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $22.27 $7.02 -68%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $56.38 $11.04 -80%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $43.25 $23.07 -47%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $21.40 $20.60 -4%
Aedifica NV AED €69.85 €36.17 -48%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$22.81 C$3.52 -85%
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA $22.36 $10.49 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.16 versus a price of $8.82, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DHC?
Our model-based fair value for Diversified Healthcare Trust is $6.16 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.82.
What is the quality score of DHC?
Diversified Healthcare Trust has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC)?
Diversified Healthcare Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DHC?
The net profit margin of Diversified Healthcare Trust is about -21.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Diversified Healthcare Trust pay a dividend?
Diversified Healthcare Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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