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Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLU) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 340M SGD

DH Daiwa House Logistics Trust DHLU · SG
Price0.4300 SGD
Fair Value0.5800 SGD
Upside+34.9%
Quality69/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 61.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
8.96% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range 0.4900 SGD – 0.6000 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −11.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4900 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.6224 SGD 0.3937 SGD Fair Value 0.5800 SGD Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range 0.3937 SGD – 0.6224 SGD · fair‑value band 0.4900 SGD – 0.6000 SGD · the 0.4300 SGD price screens below the 0.5800 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLU) currently trades at 0.4300 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5800 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Daiwa House Logistics Trust generated revenue of 57.8M SGD at a net margin of 61.7%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 319M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4900 SGD (bear case) to 0.6000 SGD (bull case); at 0.4300 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 35%, DHLU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1600 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.4800 SGD 80
Residual Income 0.5500 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.5800 SGD 76
Gordon GGM 0.3600 SGD 0.4100 SGD 0.4700 SGD 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1400 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.5000 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1000 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.4900 SGD 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1000 SGD 0.2300 SGD 0.3800 SGD 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3600 SGD 0.4100 SGD 0.4700 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3600 SGD 0.4400 SGD 0.5500 SGD 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.4000 SGD 0.5400 SGD 0.6700 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.6500 SGD 0.8600 SGD 1.08 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.6300 SGD 0.9400 SGD 1.25 SGD 53
EV/Revenue 0.0900 SGD 0.2600 SGD 0.4400 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.3500 SGD 0.4700 SGD 0.7000 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1600 SGD 0.2800 SGD 0.4800 SGD 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.5500 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.5800 SGD 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (0.5700 SGD) versus DCF Models (0.2500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 57.8M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net margin 61.7%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 38.7M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 8.6
More key figures
Operating margin 68.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0500 SGD
Dividend yield 9.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +24.5%
Net debt 319M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daiwa House Logistics Trust is a Singapore real estate investment trust (REIT) established with the investment strategy of principally investing in a portfolio of income-producing logistics and industrial real estate assets located across Asia.

Full company description

Daiwa House Logistics Trust is a Singapore real estate investment trust (REIT) established with the investment strategy of principally investing in a portfolio of income-producing logistics and industrial real estate assets located across Asia. Its portfolio currently comprises 18 high-quality logistics properties across Japan and one property in Vietnam, with an aggregate net lettable area more than 499,000 sqm. DHLT is managed by Daiwa House Asset Management Asia Pte. Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of its Sponsor, Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd. Daiwa House Logistics Trust was incorporated in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Daiwa House Logistics Trust reported revenue of 57.8M SGD in FY2025 versus 58.7M SGD in FY2019, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 35.7M SGD in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
57.8M SGD
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY19 58.7M SGD
FY20 71.0M SGD
FY23 59.9M SGD
FY24 57.1M SGD
FY25 57.8M SGD
Net income +10.5%/yr
FY19 19.6M SGD
FY20 27.1M SGD
FY23 43.3M SGD
FY24 34.7M SGD
FY25 35.7M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daiwa House Logistics Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DHLU

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 62% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 80 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 28 · sector 28
HEALTH 74 · sector 77
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $140.73 $61.28 -56%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $323.58 $162.43 -50%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $149.40 $78.38 -48%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $203.45 $81.41 -60%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.50 $47.91 +15%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.44 SGD 2.00 SGD -18%
CubeSmart CUBE $41.22 $25.06 -39%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $63.34 $20.72 -67%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $36.39 $20.69 -43%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $36.94 $21.64 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5800 SGD versus a price of 0.4300 SGD, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DHLU?
Our model-based fair value for Daiwa House Logistics Trust is 0.5800 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4300 SGD.
What is the quality score of DHLU?
Daiwa House Logistics Trust has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLU)?
Daiwa House Logistics Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 57.8M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DHLU?
The net profit margin of Daiwa House Logistics Trust is about 61.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 61.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daiwa House Logistics Trust pay a dividend?
Daiwa House Logistics Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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