Digital Bros (DIB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Digital Bros €10.12, price €12.80, upside -20.9%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Digital Bros for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.94 – €45.58 · fair‑value band €8.33 – €12.91 · the €12.80 price screens above the €10.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Digital Bros in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Digital Bros is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Digital Bros S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, publishing, distribution, and marketing of video games in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Premium Games, Free to Play, Italian Distribution, and Other Activities segments.
Show more
Digital Bros S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, publishing, distribution, and marketing of video games in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Premium Games, Free to Play, Italian Distribution, and Other Activities segments. The Premium Games segment acquires and distributes video games through an international retail sales network and digital marketplaces, such as Steam, Sony PlayStation Network, Microsoft Xbox Live, and Epic Game Store, and others.; and publishes video games under the 505 Games and Hook brands. The Free to Play segment develops and publishes video games and/or applications that are available for free on digital marketplaces under the 505 Mobile and 505Go! Brands. The Italian Distribution segment purchases and distributes video games and collectible cards. Digital Bros S.p.A. is based in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
Digital Bros (DIB) currently trades at €12.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.12, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €12.76 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the €12.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €5.32, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €8.33 (bear) to €12.91 (bull), the price of €12.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Digital Bros reported revenue of €93.6M in FY2025 versus €149M in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €183M · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) €−0.7900 · Net margin −11.7% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 19.8% · Revenue (TTM) €116M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −21%, DIB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €8.33Fair Value €10.12Bull €12.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.7% (2020) → −12.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 149 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Digital Bros Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIB
Frequently asked questions
Is Digital Bros (DIB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.12 versus a price of €12.80, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIB?
Our model-based fair value for Digital Bros is €10.12 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €12.80.
What is the quality score of DIB?
Digital Bros has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Digital Bros (DIB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.12 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.33, optimistic scenario €12.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Digital Bros stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.12, about −21% upside versus a price of €12.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €8.33, optimistic scenario €12.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Digital Bros (DIB)?
Digital Bros reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €116M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Digital Bros (DIB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Digital Bros would have to grow free cash flow by +13.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIB use?
Our models discount Digital Bros at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Digital Bros that is +13.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Digital Bros (DIB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Digital Bros grew -7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Digital Bros (DIB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Digital Bros (+13.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.21 %: that much free cash flow Digital Bros produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Digital Bros (DIB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Digital Bros it is €10.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €12.80. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Digital Bros stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DIB trades above its calculated fair value: price €12.80, fair value €10.12, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€12.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.12). For Digital Bros the two are €2.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Digital Bros worth?
The market values Digital Bros at about €183M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €12.80; our models calculate a fair value of €10.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIB?
Our models span a range for Digital Bros: cautious scenario €8.33, base €10.12, optimistic €12.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €12.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Digital Bros (DIB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Digital Bros (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIB from its 52-week high?
Digital Bros trades at €12.80, about 10% below its 52-week high of €14.26 and 37% above the low of €9.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Digital Bros?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Digital Bros stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €12.80, calculated fair value €10.12 (−21%), Quality Score 61/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIB calculated?
We run Digital Bros through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €10.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Digital Bros itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €12.80. Our model-based fair value is €10.12, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Digital Bros right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Digital Bros (DIB) come from?
Earnings per share at Digital Bros grew +30.6 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.9 %, EBIT margin +15.3 %, tax rate +6.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +8.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Digital Bros
How large is the market capitalisation of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The market capitalisation of Digital Bros is €183M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Digital Bros is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Digital Bros (DIB)?
Earnings per share at Digital Bros are €−0.7900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The net margin of Digital Bros is −11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Digital Bros is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Digital Bros (DIB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Digital Bros is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Digital Bros (DIB)?
The operating margin of Digital Bros is 19.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Digital Bros (DIB)?
Revenue at Digital Bros is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Digital Bros (DIB)?
Earnings per share at Digital Bros are growing +80.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Digital Bros (DIB) carry?
The net debt of Digital Bros is €29.8M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Digital Bros in the live analysis
One click puts Digital Bros on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
