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Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.7B

DL Delek Logistics Partners, LP logo Delek Logistics Partners, LP DKL · US
Price$56.75
Fair Value$19.44
Upside-65.8%
Quality23/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
9.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range $14.58 – $24.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.31 $24.03 Fair Value $19.44 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.03 – $60.31 · fair‑value band $14.58 – $24.30 · the $56.75 price screens above the $19.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) currently trades at $56.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.44, implying the stock looks roughly 65.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Delek Logistics Partners, LP generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.9%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.58 (bear case) to $24.30 (bull case); at $56.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -66%, DKL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.3900 $0.4700 $2.30 76
Gordon GGM $39.34 $58.77 $78.77 70
Growth-Adj P/E $26.39 $37.69 $49.00 68
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.57 $47.96 $60.84 54
PEG = 1.0 $7.29 $10.42 $13.55 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $39.34 $58.77 $78.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage $39.34 $55.47 $73.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.85 $46.46 $58.08 63
P/S Multiple $17.15 $22.87 $28.59 58
P/B Multiple $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.2600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1100 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.3900 $0.4700 $2.30 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $26.39 $37.69 $49.00 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($55.47) versus Asset-Based ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.0%
Net margin 16.0%
Return on equity 43.9%
Free cash flow −$30.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.5%
EPS (TTM) $3.17
Dividend yield 9.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.6%
Net debt $2.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States.

Full company description

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Gathering and Processing, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling, Storage and Transportation, and Investments in Joint Ventures. It offers tanks, offloading facilities, and trucks and ancillary assets that provide crude oil, hydrocarbon-based products, intermediate and refined products transportation, and storage services. Delek Logistics GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Delek Logistics Partners, LP was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates as a subsidiary of Delek US Holdings, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delek Logistics Partners, LP reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $701M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $176M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 $701M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $941M
FY25 $1.0B
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 $165M
FY22 $159M
FY23 $126M
FY24 $143M
FY25 $176M

DKL screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek Logistics Partners, LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKL

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 383.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.9× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 95 · sector 15
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.44 versus a price of $56.75, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DKL?
Our model-based fair value for Delek Logistics Partners, LP is $19.44 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $56.75.
What is the quality score of DKL?
Delek Logistics Partners, LP has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL)?
Delek Logistics Partners, LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DKL?
The net profit margin of Delek Logistics Partners, LP is about 16.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Delek Logistics Partners, LP pay a dividend?
Delek Logistics Partners, LP currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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