Delek Group (DLEKG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Delek Group ILS 70.85, price ILS 87.32, upside -18.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.28 ILA – 115.97 ILA · fair‑value band 52.02 ILA – 95.51 ILA · the 87.32 ILA price screens above the 70.85 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally.
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Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally. It holds interests in the Leviathan and Aphrodite reservoirs in Cyprus; assets oil offshore oil assets in the Mediterranean, as well as oil and gas reserves in the North Sea region; and treatment, and storage facilities. Delek Group Ltd. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.
Stock analysis
Delek Group (DLEKG) currently trades at 87.32 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 70.85 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 192.14 ILA per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the 87.32 ILA price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 23.03 ILA, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 52.02 ILA (bear) to 95.51 ILA (bull), the price of 87.32 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Delek Group reported revenue of 6.0B ILS in FY2025 versus 8.0B ILS in FY2021, a compound −7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B ILS in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B ILA · P/E ratio 75.3 · P/S ratio 41.1 · EPS (TTM) 11.20 ILA · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 54.5% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −19%, DLEKG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 52.02 ILAFair Value 70.85 ILABull 95.51 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−50.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.26% vs 21%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 34%
2025 sits 104% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−19% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)84% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.37× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DLEKG
Frequently asked questions
Is Delek Group (DLEKG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 70.85 ILA versus a price of 87.32 ILA, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DLEKG?
Our model-based fair value for Delek Group is 70.85 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 87.32 ILA.
What is the quality score of DLEKG?
Delek Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 70.85 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 52.02 ILA, optimistic scenario 95.51 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Delek Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 70.85 ILA, about −19% upside versus a price of 87.32 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 52.02 ILA, optimistic scenario 95.51 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Delek Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Delek Group pay a dividend?
Delek Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Delek Group it is 70.85 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 87.32 ILA. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Delek Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DLEKG trades above its calculated fair value: price 87.32 ILA, fair value 70.85 ILA, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DLEKG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (87.32 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (70.85 ILA). For Delek Group the two are 16.47 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Delek Group worth?
The market values Delek Group at about 1.6B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 87.32 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 70.85 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DLEKG?
Our models span a range for Delek Group: cautious scenario 52.02 ILA, base 70.85 ILA, optimistic 95.51 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 87.32 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DLEKG?
Delek Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 70.85 ILA is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Delek Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 1.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DLEKG from its 52-week high?
Delek Group trades at 87.32 ILA, about 25% below its 52-week high of 115.97 ILA and 20% above the low of 73.03 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 70.85 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Delek Group?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Delek Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 87.32 ILA, calculated fair value 70.85 ILA (−19%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DLEKG calculated?
We run Delek Group through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 70.85 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Delek Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 87.32 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 70.85 ILA, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Delek Group right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (52.02 ILA to 95.51 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Delek Group (DLEKG) come from?
Earnings per share at Delek Group grew +18.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.5 %, EBIT margin +7.6 %, tax rate −4.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Delek Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The market capitalisation of Delek Group is 1.6B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Delek Group is 41.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Earnings per share at Delek Group are 11.20 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 75.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The dividend yield of Delek Group is 0.1% (payout 0.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The net margin of Delek Group is 54.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Delek Group is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Delek Group is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Delek Group (DLEKG)?
The operating margin of Delek Group is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Revenue at Delek Group is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Delek Group (DLEKG)?
Earnings per share at Delek Group are growing +400% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Delek Group (DLEKG) generate?
The free cash flow of Delek Group is 2.5B ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Delek Group (DLEKG) carry?
The net debt of Delek Group is 9.8B ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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