Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dpm Metals Inc. A$70.09, price A$63.72, upside +10.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range A$31.53 – A$71.31 · fair‑value band A$49.06 – A$91.14 · the A$63.72 price screens below the A$70.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador.
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DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador. The company was formerly known as Dundee Precious Metals Inc. and changed its name to DPM Metals Inc. in September 2025. DPM Metals Inc. is based in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) currently trades at A$63.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$70.09, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$74.61 per share, and 2 of the 25 models we run sit above the A$63.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$7.80, and 23 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$49.06 (bear) to A$91.14 (bull), the price of A$63.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Dpm Metals Inc. reported revenue of $950M in FY2025 versus $641M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $369M in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$11.8B (≈ $8.3B) · P/E ratio 17.8 · P/S ratio 6.91 · EPS (TTM) A$3.58 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 38.8% · Return on equity 25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 10%, DPM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$49.06Fair Value A$70.09Bull A$91.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$2.59 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.37% → 45%
2025 sits 91% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.1% a year for the price and +13.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)59% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth115% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dpm Metals Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DPM
Frequently asked questions
Is Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$70.09 versus a price of A$63.72, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DPM?
Our model-based fair value for Dpm Metals Inc. is A$70.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$63.72.
What is the quality score of DPM?
Dpm Metals Inc. has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$70.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$49.06, optimistic scenario A$91.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dpm Metals Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$70.09, about +10% upside versus a price of A$63.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$49.06, optimistic scenario A$91.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Dpm Metals Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Dpm Metals Inc. pay a dividend?
Dpm Metals Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dpm Metals Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DPM use?
Our models discount Dpm Metals Inc. at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dpm Metals Inc. that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dpm Metals Inc. grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dpm Metals Inc. (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.34 %: that much free cash flow Dpm Metals Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dpm Metals Inc. it is A$70.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$63.72. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dpm Metals Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DPM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$63.72, fair value A$70.09, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DPM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$63.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$70.09). For Dpm Metals Inc. the two are A$6.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dpm Metals Inc. worth?
The market values Dpm Metals Inc. at about A$11.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$63.72; our models calculate a fair value of A$70.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DPM?
Our models span a range for Dpm Metals Inc.: cautious scenario A$49.06, base A$70.09, optimistic A$91.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$63.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DPM?
Dpm Metals Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$70.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 7.5, EV/EBITDA 10.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dpm Metals Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 25.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DPM from its 52-week high?
Dpm Metals Inc. trades at A$63.72, about 11% below its 52-week high of A$71.31 and 101% above the low of A$31.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$70.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dpm Metals Inc.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dpm Metals Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$63.72, calculated fair value A$70.09 (+10%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DPM calculated?
We run Dpm Metals Inc. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$70.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dpm Metals Inc. currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$63.72. Our model-based fair value is A$70.09, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dpm Metals Inc. right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$49.06 to A$91.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Dpm Metals Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The market capitalisation of Dpm Metals Inc. is A$11.8B (≈ $8.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dpm Metals Inc. is 6.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Earnings per share at Dpm Metals Inc. are A$3.58 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The dividend yield of Dpm Metals Inc. is 0.3% (payout 4.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The net margin of Dpm Metals Inc. is 38.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dpm Metals Inc. is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dpm Metals Inc. is 15.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
The operating margin of Dpm Metals Inc. is 59.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Revenue at Dpm Metals Inc. is growing +115% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM)?
Earnings per share at Dpm Metals Inc. are growing +295% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) hold?
Dpm Metals Inc. holds more cash than debt, A$485M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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