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DPM Metals Inc (DPM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$10.4B

DM DPM Metals Inc DPM · TO
PriceC$61.62
Fair ValueC$28.40
Upside-53.9%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 44.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.35% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: High Range C$21.30 – C$43.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +33.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$43.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$21.30 to C$43.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$61.62 C$5.02 Fair Value C$28.40 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$5.02 – C$61.62 · fair‑value band C$21.30 – C$43.61 · the C$61.62 price screens above the C$28.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

DPM Metals Inc (DPM) currently trades at C$61.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$28.40, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DPM Metals Inc generated revenue of C$1.1B at a net margin of 44.9%. Revenue grew 115.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$485M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$21.30 (bear case) to C$43.61 (bull case); at C$61.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 210% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -54%, DPM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$47.52 C$92.09 C$165.14 80
Residual Income C$11.44 C$15.42 C$51.09 76
ROIC Compounder C$24.63 C$36.78 C$45.15 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$50.38 C$77.98 C$165.86 38
Owner Earnings C$34.67 C$76.03 C$162.86 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$19.08 C$25.16 C$37.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$29.20 C$45.64 C$77.70 41
5Y P/E Exit C$31.51 C$61.60 C$101.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$28.24 C$44.89 C$50.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$35.83 C$66.69 C$117.18 37
10Y P/E Exit C$37.51 C$71.66 C$125.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$11.36 C$79.21 C$111.16 54
Lynch FV C$40.92 C$58.46 C$76.00 50
PEG = 1.0 C$40.92 C$58.46 C$76.00 46
EPV C$18.52 C$21.23 C$23.60 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$1.22 C$2.54 C$4.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$1.22 C$2.14 C$2.67 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$21.30 C$28.40 C$35.50 63
P/S Multiple C$4.84 C$6.45 C$8.06 58
P/B Multiple C$21.30 C$28.40 C$35.50 55
EV/EBIT C$22.69 C$29.51 C$36.32 53
EV/EBITDA C$20.50 C$26.58 C$32.66 54
EV/Revenue C$6.77 C$8.70 C$10.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$5.82 C$7.80 C$11.64 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$47.52 C$92.09 C$165.14 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$11.44 C$15.42 C$51.09 76
ROIC Compounder C$24.63 C$36.78 C$45.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$50.35 C$71.93 C$93.51 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (C$92.09) versus Dividend Discount (C$2.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +115%
Net margin 44.9%
Return on equity 25.5%
Free cash flow C$632M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 59.3%
EPS (TTM) C$3.62
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +295%
Net cash C$485M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador.

Full company description

DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador. The company was formerly known as Dundee Precious Metals Inc. and changed its name to DPM Metals Inc. in September 2025. DPM Metals Inc. is based in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DPM Metals Inc reported revenue of C$950M in FY2025 versus C$608M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$369M in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$950M
Latest YoY
+67.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+31.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+37.1%
Revenue +11.8%/yr
FY21 C$608M
FY22 C$423M
FY23 C$520M
FY24 C$566M
FY25 C$950M
Net income +18.6%/yr
FY21 C$187M
FY22 C$34.9M
FY23 C$193M
FY24 C$225M
FY25 C$369M

DPM screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DPM Metals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DPM

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 115% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.90× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.67× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DPM Metals Inc (DPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$28.40 versus a price of C$61.62, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DPM?
Our model-based fair value for DPM Metals Inc is C$28.40 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$61.62.
What is the quality score of DPM?
DPM Metals Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DPM Metals Inc (DPM)?
DPM Metals Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DPM?
The net profit margin of DPM Metals Inc is about 44.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 44.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DPM Metals Inc pay a dividend?
DPM Metals Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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