Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dong Phu Rubber JSC VND 29,347, price VND 38,700, upside -24.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18,114 VND – 52,500 VND · fair‑value band 23,127 VND – 36,107 VND · the 38,700 VND price screens above the 29,347 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Dong Phu Rubber Joint Stock Company engages in the planting, exploiting, and processing of rubber latex in Vietnam.
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Dong Phu Rubber Joint Stock Company engages in the planting, exploiting, and processing of rubber latex in Vietnam. It engages in the rubber plantation; poultry farming; construction of railways and roads; construction of all types of houses, including investment in construction of industrial and civil works inside and outside industrial parks; civil and industrial construction; production of pesticides and other chemical products used in agriculture; investment and trading in real estate; afforestation, forest protection, exploitation, processing, and trading of products from planted forests; production of fertilizers and nitrogen compounds; raising livestock; wholesale of other materials and installation equipment in construction; buying and selling rubber wood; timber exploitation; rubber wood exploitation; and trading, importing, and exporting all types of rubber latex. The company is also involved in industrial park infrastructure; rubber mattress production; hotel business; production, trade, and road toll collection; and growing, exploiting and processing rubber latex. It also exports its products to France, Belgium, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Spain, South Korea, Australia, the United States, New Zealand, Canada, Singapore, Taiwan, China, and Japan. Dong Phu Rubber Joint Stock Company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Dong Nai, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR) currently trades at 38,700 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29,347 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 46,666 VND per share, and 8 of the 22 models we run sit above the 38,700 VND price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 20,086 VND, and 14 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 23,127 VND (bear) to 36,107 VND (bull), the price of 38,700 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Dong Phu Rubber JSC reported revenue of 1.2T VND in FY2025 versus 1.2T VND in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 289B VND in FY2025, compounding −9.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.4T VND · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) 3,777 VND · Net margin 24.3% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 32.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −24%, DPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 23,127 VNDFair Value 29,347 VNDBull 36,107 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2,774 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 23%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.9% a year for the price and +5.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−24% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth87% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29,347 VND versus a price of 38,700 VND, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DPR?
Our model-based fair value for Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 29,347 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 38,700 VND.
What is the quality score of DPR?
Dong Phu Rubber JSC has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29,347 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23,127 VND, optimistic scenario 36,107 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dong Phu Rubber JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29,347 VND, about −24% upside versus a price of 38,700 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 23,127 VND, optimistic scenario 36,107 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Dong Phu Rubber JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dong Phu Rubber JSC would have to grow free cash flow by +12.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DPR use?
Our models discount Dong Phu Rubber JSC at 14.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dong Phu Rubber JSC that is +12.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dong Phu Rubber JSC grew +0.9 % a year. The price currently implies +12.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dong Phu Rubber JSC (+12.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.00 %: that much free cash flow Dong Phu Rubber JSC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dong Phu Rubber JSC it is 29,347 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 38,700 VND. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dong Phu Rubber JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DPR trades above its calculated fair value: price 38,700 VND, fair value 29,347 VND, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (38,700 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29,347 VND). For Dong Phu Rubber JSC the two are 9,353 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dong Phu Rubber JSC worth?
The market values Dong Phu Rubber JSC at about 3.4T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 38,700 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 29,347 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DPR?
Our models span a range for Dong Phu Rubber JSC: cautious scenario 23,127 VND, base 29,347 VND, optimistic 36,107 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 38,700 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DPR?
Dong Phu Rubber JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29,347 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dong Phu Rubber JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DPR from its 52-week high?
Dong Phu Rubber JSC trades at 38,700 VND, about 19% below its 52-week high of 47,500 VND and 15% above the low of 33,600 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29,347 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dong Phu Rubber JSC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dong Phu Rubber JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 38,700 VND, calculated fair value 29,347 VND (−24%), Quality Score 61/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DPR calculated?
We run Dong Phu Rubber JSC through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29,347 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dong Phu Rubber JSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 38,700 VND. Our model-based fair value is 29,347 VND, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dong Phu Rubber JSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (36,107 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Dong Phu Rubber JSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The market capitalisation of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 3.4T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 2.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Earnings per share at Dong Phu Rubber JSC are 3,777 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The net margin of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 24.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
The operating margin of Dong Phu Rubber JSC is 32.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Revenue at Dong Phu Rubber JSC is growing +87.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dong Phu Rubber JSC (DPR)?
Earnings per share at Dong Phu Rubber JSC are growing +60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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