Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Daio Paper Corporation stock €5.51, price €5.73, that is 3.8% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Daio Paper Corporation engages in paper and paperboard business Japan, East Asia, Southeast Asia, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through Paper and Paperboard Home and Personal Care, and Others segments.
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The company offers newsprint, publication paper, printing paper, communication paper, recycled-content colored construction paper, wrapping paper; containerboard and corrugated container; functional materials; and home and personal care products, such as disposable diapers for babies and adults, sanitary napkins, absorbent liners for light incontinence, various tissue products, wet wipes, and cleaning supplies.
It is also involved in research and development of cellulose nanofiber. Daio Paper Corporation was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Shikokuchuo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) currently trades at €5.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.51, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €7.84 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the €5.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.9850, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €3.20 (bear) to €6.88 (bull), the price of €5.73 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Daio Paper Corporation reported revenue of ¥667B in FY2026 versus ¥612B in FY2022, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.9B in FY2026, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €883M Small · P/E ratio 21.2 · EPS (TTM) €0.2700 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −4%, DPR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€3.20Fair Value €5.51Bull€6.88
Price €5.73 · Downside -3.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1165 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.4% vs −3.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.7% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−3.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.2% · Above median
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.27× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daio Paper Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DPR
Frequently asked questions
Is Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.51 versus a price of €5.73, about 4% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DPR?
Our model-based fair value for Daio Paper Corporation is €5.51 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.73.
What is the quality score of DPR?
Daio Paper Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.51 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.20, optimistic scenario €6.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daio Paper Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.51, about 4% lower versus a price of €5.73 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €3.20, optimistic scenario €6.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Daio Paper Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥670B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Daio Paper Corporation pay a dividend?
Daio Paper Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Daio Paper Corporation pays a dividend of €0.0793 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.4%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2010. The payout ratio is 24.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 15.43 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daio Paper Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.4 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DPR use?
Our models discount Daio Paper Corporation at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daio Paper Corporation that is +3.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Daio Paper Corporation grew +3.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +3.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daio Paper Corporation (+3.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.30 %: that much free cash flow Daio Paper Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daio Paper Corporation it is €5.51 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of €5.73. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Daio Paper Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, DPR trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.73, fair value €5.51, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.51). For Daio Paper Corporation the two are €0.2178 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daio Paper Corporation worth?
The market values Daio Paper Corporation at about €883M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is €5.73; our models calculate a fair value of €5.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DPR?
Our models span a range for Daio Paper Corporation: cautious scenario €3.20, base €5.51, optimistic €6.88 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price €5.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DPR?
Daio Paper Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.2 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daio Paper Corporation (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 1.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DPR from its 52-week high?
Daio Paper Corporation trades at €5.73, about 8% below its 52-week high of €6.26 and 30% above the low of €4.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daio Paper Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daio Paper Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price €5.73, calculated fair value €5.51 (−4%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DPR calculated?
We run Daio Paper Corporation through 23 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €5.51 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Daio Paper Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €5.73. Our model-based fair value is €5.51, about 4% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daio Paper Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€3.20 to €6.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Daio Paper Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The market capitalisation of Daio Paper Corporation is €883M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Earnings per share at Daio Paper Corporation are €0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The dividend yield of Daio Paper Corporation is 1.4% (payout 29.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The net margin of Daio Paper Corporation is 1.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daio Paper Corporation is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daio Paper Corporation is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
The operating margin of Daio Paper Corporation is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Revenue at Daio Paper Corporation is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daio Paper Corporation (DPR)?
Earnings per share at Daio Paper Corporation are growing +143% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Daio Paper Corporation (DPR) carry?
The net debt of Daio Paper Corporation is ¥336B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 10.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026