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Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Danang Rubber JSC VND 16,240, price VND 10,050, upside +61.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · VN · ISIN VN000000DRC8

DR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Danang Rubber JSC

DRC · VN

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 16,240 VND · Strongly undervalued (+62%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

26,427 VND 9,800 VND Fair Value 16,240 VND Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9,800 VND – 26,427 VND · fair‑value band 11,413 VND – 23,808 VND · the 10,050 VND price screens below the 16,240 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Danang Rubber Joint Stock Company engages in the production and sale of rubber tire and inner tube products in Vietnam and internationally.

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Danang Rubber Joint Stock Company engages in the production and sale of rubber tire and inner tube products in Vietnam and internationally. Its products include PCR tires; radials, include TBR, semi-steel, and golf tires; and bias, including heavy duty, light truck, agricultural, and OTR tires; bicycle and motorcycle tires, including DPLUS tubeless motorcycle and bicycle tires, bicycle inner tubes, and electric bicycle and scooter tires; inner tubes, such as car flaps, car and motorcycle inner tubes, and motorcycle inner tubes; and technical rubber products. Danang Rubber Joint Stock Company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Da Nang, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) currently trades at 10,050 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16,240 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 15,322 VND per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the 10,050 VND price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4,151 VND, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 11,413 VND (bear) to 23,808 VND (bull), the price of 10,050 VND sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Danang Rubber JSC reported revenue of 5.0T VND in FY2025 versus 4.4T VND in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 118B VND in FY2025, compounding −20.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7T VND · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) 810.70 VND · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% · Operating margin 2.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 62%, DRC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 11,413 VND Fair Value 16,240 VND Bull 23,808 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (595.25 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 4,400 VND 5,739 VND 7,356 VND 82
Growth DCF 4,422 VND 5,598 VND 6,943 VND 80
Owner Earnings 7,955 VND 10,537 VND 13,654 VND 78
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4,400 VND 5,739 VND 7,356 VND 82
Owner Earnings 7,955 VND 10,537 VND 13,654 VND 78
5Y Revenue Exit 7,664 VND 12,297 VND 18,171 VND 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 9,657 VND 15,938 VND 23,168 VND 74
5Y P/E Exit 8,441 VND 13,717 VND 19,143 VND 70
10Y Revenue Exit 5,895 VND 9,333 VND 13,851 VND 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 7,197 VND 11,467 VND 17,038 VND 68
10Y P/E Exit 6,540 VND 10,166 VND 14,471 VND 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5,217 VND 14,494 VND 19,046 VND 65
Lynch FV 2,906 VND 4,151 VND 5,396 VND 61
PEG = 1.0 2,906 VND 4,151 VND 5,396 VND 57
EPV 5,284 VND 5,850 VND 6,309 VND 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 12,660 VND 16,880 VND 21,100 VND 63
P/S Multiple 9,783 VND 13,044 VND 16,305 VND 58
P/B Multiple 9,783 VND 13,044 VND 16,305 VND 55
EV/EBIT 15,889 VND 20,996 VND 26,104 VND 66
EV/EBITDA 15,719 VND 20,770 VND 25,820 VND 67
EV/Revenue 10,895 VND 15,322 VND 19,748 VND 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6,287 VND 8,424 VND 12,574 VND 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4,422 VND 5,598 VND 6,943 VND 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8,925 VND 8,849 VND 7,911 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 5,284 VND 5,850 VND 6,309 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 10,038 VND 14,340 VND 18,642 VND 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 4%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,843 $2,368 −17%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 367,500 KRW 631,641 KRW +72%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥53.77 ¥75.79 +41%
Magna International Inc MGA $63.73 $68.17 +7%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $128.76 $58.07 −55%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹164.40 ₹96.97 −41%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹47,955 ₹25,325 −47%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,004 ₹407.35 −80%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16,240 VND versus a price of 10,050 VND, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DRC?
Our model-based fair value for Danang Rubber JSC is 16,240 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10,050 VND.
What is the quality score of DRC?
Danang Rubber JSC has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16,240 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11,413 VND, optimistic scenario 23,808 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Danang Rubber JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16,240 VND, about +62% upside versus a price of 10,050 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 11,413 VND, optimistic scenario 23,808 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Danang Rubber JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Danang Rubber JSC would have to grow free cash flow by +39.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DRC use?
Our models discount Danang Rubber JSC at 14.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Danang Rubber JSC that is +39.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Danang Rubber JSC grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +39.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Danang Rubber JSC (+39.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.21 %: that much free cash flow Danang Rubber JSC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Danang Rubber JSC it is 16,240 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 10,050 VND. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Danang Rubber JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DRC trades below its calculated fair value: price 10,050 VND, fair value 16,240 VND, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10,050 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16,240 VND). For Danang Rubber JSC the two are 6,190 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Danang Rubber JSC worth?
The market values Danang Rubber JSC at about 1.7T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 10,050 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 16,240 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DRC?
Our models span a range for Danang Rubber JSC: cautious scenario 11,413 VND, base 16,240 VND, optimistic 23,808 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 10,050 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DRC?
Danang Rubber JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16,240 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Danang Rubber JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DRC from its 52-week high?
Danang Rubber JSC trades at 10,050 VND, about 38% below its 52-week high of 16,139 VND and 3% above the low of 9,800 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16,240 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Danang Rubber JSC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Danang Rubber JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 10,050 VND, calculated fair value 16,240 VND (+62%), Quality Score 45/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DRC calculated?
We run Danang Rubber JSC through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16,240 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Danang Rubber JSC currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 10,050 VND. Our model-based fair value is 16,240 VND, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Danang Rubber JSC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (11,413 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (11,413 VND to 23,808 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Danang Rubber JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The market capitalisation of Danang Rubber JSC is 1.7T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Danang Rubber JSC is 0.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Earnings per share at Danang Rubber JSC are 810.70 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The net margin of Danang Rubber JSC is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Danang Rubber JSC is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Danang Rubber JSC is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
The operating margin of Danang Rubber JSC is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Revenue at Danang Rubber JSC is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Danang Rubber JSC (DRC)?
Earnings per share at Danang Rubber JSC are growing +72.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Danang Rubber JSC (DRC) carry?
The net debt of Danang Rubber JSC is 760B VND (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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