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Jet2 plc (DRTGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Jet2 plc $16.54, price $19.04, upside -13.2%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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JP
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Jet2 plc
DRTGF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $16.54 · Overvalued (−13.2%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 57/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.93 – $24.95 · fair‑value band $10.16 – $24.39 · the $19.04 price screens above the $16.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Jet2 plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure travel business in the United Kingdom. The company operates scheduled holiday flights and packaged holidays to leisure destinations in the Mediterranean, the Canary Islands, and European Leisure Cities.
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Jet2 plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure travel business in the United Kingdom. The company operates scheduled holiday flights and packaged holidays to leisure destinations in the Mediterranean, the Canary Islands, and European Leisure Cities. It is also involved in the sale of non-ticket ancillary products; passenger and charter aircraft operations; and other value added products. As of March 31, 2025, the company's fleet consisted of 135 aircraft. In addition, it engages in aircraft leasing; and provides financing and aviation services. The company operates under the Jet2holidays, Jet2.com, Jet2CityBreaks, Indulgent Escapes, Vibe by Jet2holidays, and Jet2Villas brands. The company was formerly known as Dart Group PLC and changed its name to Jet2 plc in September 2020. Jet2 plc was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Leeds, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Jet2 plc (DRTGF) currently trades at $19.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.54, 13.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $116.35 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.04 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.91, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.16 (bear) to $24.39 (bull), the price of $19.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jet2 plc reported revenue of £7.2B in FY2025 versus £395M in FY2021, a compound +106.4%/yr. Reported net income was £447M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.6B · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $3.15 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 23.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −13%, DRTGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.16
Fair Value $16.54
Bull $24.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.98 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$87.52
$131.43
$268.32
76
Growth DCF
$82.57
$143.52
$262.80
75
EPV
$26.16
$29.31
$32.04
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$87.52
$131.43
$268.32
76
Owner Earnings
$46.34
$95.21
$194.03
71
5Y Revenue Exit
$52.98
$81.16
$139.66
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$64.90
$105.27
$184.25
73
5Y P/E Exit
$69.31
$140.40
$236.10
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$62.81
$116.35
$146.05
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$72.61
$141.44
$257.45
65
10Y P/E Exit
$75.75
$150.72
$271.20
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$22.26
$155.26
$217.88
63
Lynch FV
$59.59
$85.12
$110.66
61
PEG = 1.0
$59.59
$85.12
$110.66
57
EPV
$26.16
$29.31
$32.04
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$54.02
$72.03
$90.03
63
P/S Multiple
$41.74
$55.66
$69.57
58
P/B Multiple
$35.43
$47.24
$59.05
55
EV/EBIT
$50.33
$65.06
$79.78
66
EV/EBITDA
$54.21
$70.23
$86.25
67
EV/Revenue
$35.94
$48.70
$61.46
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$5.91
$7.91
$11.81
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$82.57
$143.52
$262.80
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$53.50
$92.05
$164.83
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$20.48
$29.64
$63.25
70
ROIC Compounder
$31.07
$41.34
$54.99
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$77.13
$110.19
$143.25
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability
60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
66
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+79.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.1% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16.7% vs 22.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.3% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.7%
DRTGF screens overvalued: fair value 13% below the price. Compare with Booking Holdings →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $162.91 | $192.97 | +18% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $160.65 | $176.72 | +10% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $265.86 | $209.94 | −21% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $79.30 | $87.23 | +10% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $264.17 | $290.59 | +10% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $25.07 | $36.68 | +46% |
| Trip.com Group 9961 | HK$309.20 | HK$679.42 | +120% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $14.80 | $20.28 | +37% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.50 | $5.23 | −45% |
| MakeMyTrip Limited MMYT | $46.75 | $34.50 | −26% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Jet2 plc (DRTGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.54 versus a price of $19.04, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DRTGF?
Our model-based fair value for Jet2 plc is $16.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.04.
What is the quality score of DRTGF?
Jet2 plc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.16, optimistic scenario $24.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jet2 plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.54, about −13% upside versus a price of $19.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.16, optimistic scenario $24.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Jet2 plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £7.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jet2 plc pay a dividend?
Jet2 plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jet2 plc would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DRTGF use?
Our models discount Jet2 plc at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jet2 plc that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jet2 plc (DRTGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jet2 plc grew +14.9 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jet2 plc (DRTGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jet2 plc (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.08 %: that much free cash flow Jet2 plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jet2 plc it is $16.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.04. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jet2 plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DRTGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.04, fair value $16.54, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DRTGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.54). For Jet2 plc the two are $2.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jet2 plc worth?
The market values Jet2 plc at about $4.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.04; our models calculate a fair value of $16.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DRTGF?
Our models span a range for Jet2 plc: cautious scenario $10.16, base $16.54, optimistic $24.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DRTGF?
Jet2 plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jet2 plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.6%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DRTGF from its 52-week high?
Jet2 plc trades at $19.04, about 8% below its 52-week high of $20.79 and 35% above the low of $14.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jet2 plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jet2 plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.04, calculated fair value $16.54 (−13%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DRTGF calculated?
We run Jet2 plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jet2 plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $19.04. Our model-based fair value is $16.54, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jet2 plc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($10.16 to $24.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Jet2 plc (DRTGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Jet2 plc grew +18.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.0 %, EBIT margin +3.7 %, tax rate −1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jet2 plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The market capitalisation of Jet2 plc is $4.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jet2 plc is 0.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Earnings per share at Jet2 plc are $3.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The dividend yield of Jet2 plc is 0.9% (payout 5.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The net margin of Jet2 plc is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jet2 plc is 23.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jet2 plc is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
The operating margin of Jet2 plc is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Revenue at Jet2 plc is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +79.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jet2 plc (DRTGF)?
Earnings per share at Jet2 plc are growing +17.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jet2 plc (DRTGF) hold?
Jet2 plc holds more cash than debt, £47.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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