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Data-driven stock valuation

Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.2B · ISIN US2340643012

At a glance

DS Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR logo Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR DSEEY · US
Price$12.11
Fair Value$10.43
Upside−13.9%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of $10.43.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR is $10.43 per share against a price of $12.11, so the fair value sits 14% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +21.9 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 20.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.99% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $7.82 to $13.03

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.11 $3.10 Fair Value $10.43 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.10 – $12.11 · fair‑value band $7.82 – $13.03 · the $12.11 price screens above the $10.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY) currently trades at $12.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.43, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR generated revenue of ¥866B at a net margin of 20.2%. Revenue grew 77.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥13.1T. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $7.82 (bear) to $13.03 (bull), the price of $12.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −14%, DSEEY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $817.59 $1,090 $1,363 55
NCAV (Graham) $641.24 $859.27 $1,282 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $817.59 $1,090 $1,363 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $641.24 $859.27 $1,282 54

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,090) versus Asset-Based ($859.27). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.5
P/S ratio 1.84 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5
Dividend yield 4.0% payout 61.9%
Net margin 11.8% FY2026
Return on equity 9.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥866B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +77.7% 3y avg +21.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +69.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥408B FY2026
Net cash ¥13.1T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Daiwa Securities Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the financial and capital markets in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management, Asset Management, Global Markets & Investment Banking segments.

Full company description

Daiwa Securities Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the financial and capital markets in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management, Asset Management, Global Markets & Investment Banking segments. The Wealth Management segment offers wrap and investment trust administration services, as well as for individual investors and unlisted companies. The Asset Management segment provides securities, real estate, and alternative asset management services. The Global Markets & Investment Banking segment offers securities sales and trading of for institutional investors, etc.; global investment banking services, which conducts underwriting of securities issued by industrial corporations, financial corporations, etc.; and merger and acquisition advisory services. The Other segment provides research, consulting, and system services. The company was formerly known as Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Daiwa Securities Group Inc. in 1999. Daiwa Securities Group Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥1.6T in FY2026 versus ¥633B in FY2022, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥186B in FY2026, compounding +18.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.6T
Latest YoY
+13.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+12.0%
Dividend yield4.0%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 16.0% vs 10Y 6.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24.8% (2021) → 14.8% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop196% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 57% above trend (one-off), rate on operating basis
Revenue +25.5%/yr
FY22 ¥633B
FY23 ¥877B
FY24 ¥1.3T
FY25 ¥1.4T
FY26 ¥1.6T
Net income +18.3%/yr
FY22 ¥94.9B
FY23 ¥63.9B
FY24 ¥122B
FY25 ¥154B
FY26 ¥186B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.1 %

of which total revenue +8.9 % · buybacks/dilution +2.0 %

EBIT margin −5.6 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

DSEEY screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSEEY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 457 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −14% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 78% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.76× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 yearsless than minus 40 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+21.9 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.1 %
FCF yield on price15.54 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %

The price sits beyond what a cash-flow model can represent: the valuation rests on more than today's free cash flow. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE15 · sector 13
FUTURE100 · sector 91
PAST38 · sector 30
HEALTH100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND80 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $217.72 $138.97 −36%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,039 $756.89 −27%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $110.16 $66.17 −40%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $104.26 $30.94 −70%
Macquarie Group MQG A$251.87 A$75.58 −70%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥27.93 ¥17.68 −37%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.87 ¥18.62 +4%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥19.42 ¥4.77 −75%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥25.78 ¥14.17 −45%
Huatai Securities Co 601688 ¥19.56 ¥19.26 −2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.43 versus a price of $12.11, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSEEY?
Our model-based fair value for Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR is $10.43 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.11.
What is the quality score of DSEEY?
Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.43 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.82, optimistic scenario $13.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.43, about −14% upside versus a price of $12.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.82, optimistic scenario $13.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY)?
Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥866B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DSEEY?
The net profit margin of Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR is about 20.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR (DSEEY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.9 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DSEEY use?
Our models discount Daiwa Securities Group Inc ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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