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Data-driven stock valuation

DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of DSM FIRMENICH AG stock CHF 57.82, price CHF 103, that is 44.0% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CH

DF DSM FIRMENICH AG logo Some data Nov 3, 2026

DSM FIRMENICH AG

DSFIR · SW
Weakest Setup

Our calculation puts a fair price 44% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 43/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.5 %/yr in EUR)
Some data
Profit last quarter 56% below a year ago.
Fair value CHF 57.82 · Strongly overvalued (−44.0%)
Loss-making · -15.2% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 29/100
⟳ Cyclical

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Antitrust scrutiny in fragrances

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 103.20 CHF 60.37 Fair Value CHF 57.82 May 2026 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

6‑month range CHF 60.37 – CHF 103.20 · fair‑value band CHF 37.68 – CHF 77.96 · the CHF 103.20 price screens above the CHF 57.82 fair value. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

DSM-Firmenich AG provides nutrition, health, and beauty solutions in Switzerland, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East and Africa, North America, Latin America, China, and rest of Asia.

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The company operates through four segments: Perfumery & Beauty; Taste, Texture & Health; Health, Nutrition & Care; and Animal Nutrition & Health. The Perfumery & Beauty creates scents using natural, synthetic, and biotech ingredients.

The Taste, Texture & Health segment provides food and beverages solutions, including flavors, natural extracts, and sugar reduction; and food enzymes, hydrocolloids, cultures, natural colorants, nutritional ingredients, and plant-based proteins.

The Health, Nutrition & Care segment provides solutions for the early life nutrition, dietary supplement, pharmaceutical, medical nutrition, biomedical materials, and nutrition improvement markets.

This segment also offers vitamins, nutritional lipids, minerals, carotenoids, botanical nutraceuticals, digestive enzymes, postbiotics, probiotics and prebiotics, and active pharmaceutical ingredients; biomedical solutions; and premix, market-ready, and personalized nutrition solutions, as well as expert services in regulatory affairs and nutrition.

The Animal Nutrition & Health segment offers animal proteins, vitamins, performance solutions, and data-driven precision services. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Kaiseraugst, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) currently trades at CHF 103.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 57.82, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 40.90 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the CHF 103.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 7.20, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: CHF 37.68 (bear) to CHF 77.96 (bull), the price of CHF 103.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

DSM FIRMENICH AG reported revenue of €9.0B in FY2025 versus €8.4B in FY2022, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.1B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 25.5B Large · P/S ratio 2.70 · EPS (TTM) CHF −5.06 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −15.2% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin 7.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −44%, DSFIR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 37.68 Fair Value CHF 57.82 Bull CHF 77.96
Price CHF 103.20 · Downside -44.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF CHF 26.21 CHF 40.90 CHF 70.68 75
Growth DCF CHF 28.03 CHF 42.58 CHF 69.94 74
Owner Earnings CHF 41.94 CHF 63.93 CHF 108.52 71
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 26.21 CHF 40.90 CHF 70.68 75
Owner Earnings CHF 41.94 CHF 63.93 CHF 108.52 71
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 18.56 CHF 28.70 CHF 43.43 69
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 81.69 CHF 138.07 CHF 212.77 71
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 20.43 CHF 28.56 CHF 37.18 65
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 61.25 CHF 99.55 CHF 141.58 65
Earnings-Based
EPV CHF 14.41 CHF 18.16 CHF 21.56 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT CHF 18.89 CHF 28.99 CHF 39.08 65
EV/EBITDA CHF 126.17 CHF 172.03 CHF 217.88 67
EV/Revenue CHF 10.22 CHF 19.48 CHF 28.75 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 5.37 CHF 7.20 CHF 10.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 28.03 CHF 42.58 CHF 69.94 74
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 18.56 CHF 29.39 CHF 42.78 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder CHF 14.41 CHF 18.16 CHF 21.56 69

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 39
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 24
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 74
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 70
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 100
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 99
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.8% (2022) → 7.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.6% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.9%

DSFIR screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Positive cash flows offer limited support while negative ROE and margins reveal weak pricing power together with scant evidence of a moat in specialty chemicals.
Main risk: Ongoing antitrust investigations and a settlement in the US could lead to further restrictions or costs that squeeze pricing power and margins in the perfumery and beauty ingredients business.
Bull case: The company could strengthen its compliance frameworks and leverage its broader nutrition and health portfolio to offset any pressure on fragrance margins through diversified growth.
Bear case: Further regulatory actions or settlements might constrain pricing flexibility and innovation pace in fragrances, eroding competitiveness against peers in that segment.
dsm-firmenich just completed its share repurchase program and plans to cancel millions of shares by early next year. In its specialty chemicals business serving nutrition and beauty markets, that capital step stands alongside efforts like the new Biond biopharma vitamin range. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the reduced share count lift per-share results more than the underlying growth in these segments can sustain?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 726 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.9% · Below median
Return on assets −3.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −15.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 7.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.08× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow 42.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 22.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.72× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)3 · sector 67
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)54 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 249.00 TWD 442.40 TWD +78% vs DSFIR
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥73.58 ¥68.03 −8% vs DSFIR
Linde plc LIN $524.74 $446.62 −15% vs DSFIR
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $127.27 $77.68 −39% vs DSFIR
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,524 ₹1,479 −41% vs DSFIR
Sika AG SIKA CHF 188.75 CHF 98.89 −48% vs DSFIR
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $363.50 $146.37 −60% vs DSFIR
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,105 CHF 1,554 −62% vs DSFIR
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 859.50 CHF 284.63 −67% vs DSFIR
Ecolab Inc ECL $315.01 $96.56 −69% vs DSFIR

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DSM FIRMENICH AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DSM FIRMENICH AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSFIR

Frequently asked questions

Is DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 57.82 versus a price of CHF 103.20, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSFIR?
Our model-based fair value for DSM FIRMENICH AG is CHF 57.82 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 103.20.
What is the quality score of DSFIR?
DSM FIRMENICH AG has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 57.82 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 37.68, optimistic scenario CHF 77.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DSM FIRMENICH AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 57.82, about 44% lower versus a price of CHF 103.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 37.68, optimistic scenario CHF 77.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
DSM FIRMENICH AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does DSM FIRMENICH AG pay a dividend?
DSM FIRMENICH AG currently shows a dividend yield of 2.69% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DSM FIRMENICH AG would have to grow free cash flow by +20.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +2.5 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DSFIR use?
Our models discount DSM FIRMENICH AG at 8.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DSM FIRMENICH AG that is +20.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at DSM FIRMENICH AG grew +2.5 % a year. The price currently implies +20.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DSM FIRMENICH AG (+20.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.34 %: that much free cash flow DSM FIRMENICH AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DSM FIRMENICH AG it is CHF 57.82 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of CHF 103.20. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DSM FIRMENICH AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, DSFIR trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 103.20, fair value CHF 57.82, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DSFIR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 103.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 57.82). For DSM FIRMENICH AG the two are CHF 45.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DSM FIRMENICH AG worth?
The market values DSM FIRMENICH AG at about CHF 25.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is CHF 103.20; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 57.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DSFIR?
Our models span a range for DSM FIRMENICH AG: cautious scenario CHF 37.68, base CHF 57.82, optimistic CHF 77.96 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price CHF 103.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DSFIR?
The PEG ratio of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Balance-sheet figures for DSM FIRMENICH AG (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 1.9%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to DSM FIRMENICH AG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DSM FIRMENICH AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price CHF 103.20, calculated fair value CHF 57.82 (−44%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DSFIR calculated?
We run DSM FIRMENICH AG through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 57.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. DSM FIRMENICH AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was CHF 103.20. Our model-based fair value is CHF 57.82, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DSM FIRMENICH AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 77.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (CHF 37.68 to CHF 77.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of DSM FIRMENICH AG

How large is the market capitalisation of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The market capitalisation of DSM FIRMENICH AG is CHF 25.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 2.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Earnings per share at DSM FIRMENICH AG are CHF −5.06. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The dividend yield of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The net margin of DSM FIRMENICH AG is −15.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 1.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
The operating margin of DSM FIRMENICH AG is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Revenue at DSM FIRMENICH AG is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR)?
Earnings per share at DSM FIRMENICH AG are growing −56.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does DSM FIRMENICH AG (DSFIR) carry?
The net debt of DSM FIRMENICH AG is €3.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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