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Doosan "koda Power a.s. (DSPW) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CZ · Market cap 16.1B CZK

DK Doosan "koda Power a.s. DSPW · PR
Price503.00 CZK
Fair Value343.26 CZK
Upside-31.8%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range 257.45 CZK – 429.08 CZK Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (429.08 CZK). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

532.31 CZK 261.14 CZK Fair Value 343.26 CZK Feb 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range 261.14 CZK – 532.31 CZK · fair‑value band 257.45 CZK – 429.08 CZK · the 503.00 CZK price screens above the 343.26 CZK fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Doosan "koda Power a.s. (DSPW) currently trades at 503.00 CZK, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 343.26 CZK, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Doosan "koda Power a.s. generated revenue of 5.5B CZK at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 30.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 257.45 CZK (bear case) to 429.08 CZK (bull case); at 503.00 CZK, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -32%, DSPW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 136.73 CZK 154.70 CZK 273.44 CZK 76
Growth DCF 293.41 CZK 468.41 CZK 764.08 CZK 72
Growth-Adj P/E 215.30 CZK 307.57 CZK 399.84 CZK 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 294.98 CZK 485.04 CZK 814.52 CZK 38
Owner Earnings 277.45 CZK 453.43 CZK 758.51 CZK 31
5Y Revenue Exit 242.49 CZK 370.82 CZK 543.06 CZK 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 276.60 CZK 440.96 CZK 645.75 CZK 41
5Y P/E Exit 295.29 CZK 479.39 CZK 689.16 CZK 38
10Y Revenue Exit 252.72 CZK 380.52 CZK 572.66 CZK 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 280.83 CZK 431.84 CZK 658.40 CZK 37
10Y P/E Exit 293.20 CZK 459.95 CZK 694.65 CZK 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 111.15 CZK 510.80 CZK 701.20 CZK 54
Lynch FV 134.22 CZK 191.74 CZK 249.26 CZK 50
PEG = 1.0 134.22 CZK 191.74 CZK 249.26 CZK 46
EPV 191.71 CZK 213.96 CZK 233.43 CZK 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 257.45 CZK 343.26 CZK 429.08 CZK 63
P/S Multiple 208.41 CZK 277.88 CZK 347.35 CZK 58
P/B Multiple 208.41 CZK 277.88 CZK 347.35 CZK 55
EV/EBIT 284.45 CZK 359.86 CZK 435.28 CZK 53
EV/EBITDA 285.77 CZK 361.62 CZK 437.47 CZK 54
EV/Revenue 219.68 CZK 288.89 CZK 358.09 CZK 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 76.34 CZK 102.30 CZK 152.68 CZK 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 293.41 CZK 468.41 CZK 764.08 CZK 72
Rev-Margin DCF 242.49 CZK 368.69 CZK 531.39 CZK 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 136.73 CZK 154.70 CZK 273.44 CZK 76
ROIC Compounder 206.83 CZK 261.20 CZK 335.57 CZK 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 215.30 CZK 307.57 CZK 399.84 CZK 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (440.96 CZK) versus Asset-Based (102.30 CZK). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5B CZK
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.9%
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow 588M CZK FY2025
P/E ratio 30.6
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) 16.48 CZK
EPS growth (YoY) -87.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Doosan "koda Power a.s. engages in engineering, design, manufacturing, management, procurement, construction, and supply of steam turbines and equipment in the Czech Republic, Europe, and Asia. The company provides installation, maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, as well as long-term service agreements.

Full company description

Doosan "koda Power a.s. engages in engineering, design, manufacturing, management, procurement, construction, and supply of steam turbines and equipment in the Czech Republic, Europe, and Asia. The company provides installation, maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, as well as long-term service agreements. It also offers power and engineering services, LTSA and multi-year service contracts, retrofit and modernization services. The Company markets and sells its products under the Doosan and "koda brands. It serves power generation and industrial sectors, including nuclear power plants, industrial facilities, combined cycle power plants, biomass, waste to energy, and combined heat and power applications, catering to industries, such as utilities, pulp and paper, mining, refinery, steel works, and chemicals. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Plzen, the Czech Republic. Doosan Skoda Power a.s. operates as a subsidiary of Doosan Power Systems S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Doosan "koda Power a.s. reported revenue of 5.6B CZK in FY2025 versus 3.5B CZK in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 521M CZK in FY2025, compounding +28.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.6B CZK
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.0%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 3.5B CZK
FY22 4.1B CZK
FY23 4.8B CZK
FY24 5.9B CZK
FY25 5.6B CZK
Net income +28.8%/yr
FY21 189M CZK
FY22 576M CZK
FY23 559M CZK
FY24 660M CZK
FY25 521M CZK

DSPW screens 32% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Doosan "koda Power a.s. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSPW

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.95× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 46 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Doosan "koda Power a.s. (DSPW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 343.26 CZK versus a price of 503.00 CZK, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSPW?
Our model-based fair value for Doosan "koda Power a.s. is 343.26 CZK (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 503.00 CZK.
What is the quality score of DSPW?
Doosan "koda Power a.s. has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Doosan "koda Power a.s. (DSPW)?
Doosan "koda Power a.s. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5B CZK (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DSPW?
The net profit margin of Doosan "koda Power a.s. is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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