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Dometic Group (DTCGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Dometic Group $3.31, price $2.40, upside +37.9%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Dometic Group
DTCGF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $3.31 · Undervalued (+37.9%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 26/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.40 – $15.26 · fair‑value band $2.23 – $5.41 · the $2.40 price screens below the $3.31 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Dometic Group AB (publ) provides mobile living solutions for food and beverage, climate, power and control, and other applications in the United States, Germany, Australia, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Japan, Canada, the Netherlands, Sweden, and internationally.
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Dometic Group AB (publ) provides mobile living solutions for food and beverage, climate, power and control, and other applications in the United States, Germany, Australia, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Japan, Canada, the Netherlands, Sweden, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Land Vehicles, Marine, Mobile Cooling Solutions, and Global Ventures. The company offers outdoor standalone products, such as portable coolers, drinkware, grills, inflatable tents, and racking and storage systems, as well as customized solutions for land vehicles and boats, including installed kitchen appliances, HVAC, sanitation products, marine steering, and fuel solutions and energy-saving power systems. It also provides products for manufacturers of recreational vehicles (RV OEM), and commercial and passenger vehicles (CPV OEM); service and aftermarket products for the RV and CPV markets; products for boat and engine manufacturers in the marine industry; mobile cooling boxes and drinkware products, as well as mobile power solutions for residential and hospitality businesses. The company's outdoor products sold through retailers or e-commerce. It Electronics sells its products under the Dometic, Balmar, Büttner, Cadac, CDI Electronics, Delta Heat, Enerdrive, Front Runner, Go Power!, NDS, Twin Eagles, Valterra, and Zamp Solar, as well as Igloo, Kampa, Mobicool, Sierra, and Waeco brands. The company was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Dometic Group (DTCGF) currently trades at $2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.31, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $7.01 per share, and 16 of the 25 models we run sit above the $2.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.41, and 9 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.23 (bear) to $5.41 (bull), the price of $2.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Dometic Group reported revenue of 21.0B SEK in FY2025 versus 21.5B SEK in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 428M SEK in FY2025, compounding −29.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) 21.8B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 38%, DTCGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.23
Fair Value $3.31
Bull $5.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1059 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$7.12
$10.33
$14.32
78
Growth DCF
$7.27
$10.18
$13.64
77
Owner Earnings
$4.08
$6.20
$8.85
74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$7.12
$10.33
$14.32
78
Owner Earnings
$4.08
$6.20
$8.85
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$4.46
$6.85
$9.71
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
$6.14
$9.84
$13.93
72
5Y P/E Exit
$2.94
$4.15
$5.29
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$5.39
$7.62
$10.26
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$6.47
$9.47
$13.07
66
10Y P/E Exit
$4.64
$5.95
$7.31
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.9100
$2.18
$2.81
63
PEG = 1.0
$0.3800
$0.5500
$0.7100
55
EPV
$1.25
$1.68
$2.05
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.00
$1.60
$2.20
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.00
$1.41
$1.80
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.20
$2.93
$3.67
63
P/S Multiple
$1.70
$2.27
$2.83
58
P/B Multiple
$1.70
$2.27
$2.83
55
EV/EBIT
$5.22
$7.60
$9.98
65
EV/EBITDA
$6.51
$9.32
$12.14
67
EV/Revenue
$2.88
$4.95
$7.02
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$3.26
$4.37
$6.52
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$7.27
$10.18
$13.64
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$4.46
$7.01
$9.82
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$4.36
$4.14
$4.04
74
ROIC Compounder
$1.25
$1.68
$2.05
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.67
$2.39
$3.10
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Profitability
23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21.4% vs −10.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.6% a year for the price and +0.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−3.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Dometic Group (DTCGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.31 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.40, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DTCGF?
Our model-based fair value for Dometic Group is $3.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $2.40.
What is the quality score of DTCGF?
Dometic Group has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.23, optimistic scenario $5.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dometic Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.31, about +38% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.23, optimistic scenario $5.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Dometic Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dometic Group would have to grow free cash flow by -4.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DTCGF use?
Our models discount Dometic Group at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dometic Group that is -4.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dometic Group (DTCGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dometic Group grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies -4.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dometic Group (DTCGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dometic Group (-4.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.17 %: that much free cash flow Dometic Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dometic Group it is $3.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.40. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dometic Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DTCGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.40, fair value $3.31, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DTCGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.31). For Dometic Group the two are $0.9100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dometic Group worth?
The market values Dometic Group at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.40; our models calculate a fair value of $3.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DTCGF?
Our models span a range for Dometic Group: cautious scenario $2.23, base $3.31, optimistic $5.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is DTCGF from its 52-week high?
Dometic Group trades at $2.40, about 56% below its 52-week high of $5.45 and at the low of $2.40 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dometic Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dometic Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.40, calculated fair value $3.31 (+38%), Quality Score 60/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DTCGF calculated?
We run Dometic Group through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dometic Group currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $2.40. Our model-based fair value is $3.31, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dometic Group right now?
Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($2.23 to $5.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Dometic Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The market capitalisation of Dometic Group is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Dometic Group is 17.1. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dometic Group is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Earnings per share at Dometic Group are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The net margin of Dometic Group is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dometic Group is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dometic Group is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Revenue at Dometic Group is growing −10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dometic Group (DTCGF)?
Earnings per share at Dometic Group are growing −6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dometic Group (DTCGF) carry?
The net debt of Dometic Group is 11.6B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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