Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft €49.38, price €16.46, upside +200.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €16.46 – €38.19 · fair‑value band €36.56 – €61.72 · the €16.46 price screens below the €49.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dürr, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mechanical and plant engineering company worldwide. It operates through Automotive, Industrial Automation, and Woodworking segments. The company plans, builds, and updates paint shops and final assembly lines for the automotive industry.
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Dürr, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a mechanical and plant engineering company worldwide. It operates through Automotive, Industrial Automation, and Woodworking segments. The company plans, builds, and updates paint shops and final assembly lines for the automotive industry. It also provides products and systems for various process stages in paint shop technology; control systems, air supply, and exhaust-air systems; DXQ software family, which includes solutions for plant monitoring, manufacturing execution systems, advanced analytics, and predictive maintenance; final assembly systems, filling, testing, and conveyor, as well as assembly technology and marriage stations for connecting the car body and power train; consulting services; and assembly and test stands and calibration stations for brakes, electronics, and chassis geometry. In addition, the company offers technologies for the automated spray application of primers and base and clear coats; systems for paint supply, quality assurance, and process control and evaluation; sealing technology for sealing seams; and glueing technology. Further, it provides lean technology systems, noise abatement systems, and ORC technology and services. Additionally, the company offers assembly and test; balancing and diagnostic; production technology for battery modules and packs; and tooling systems for machines and processing centers and services. It also offers machinery and systems, such as panel dividing and through-feed saws, CNC processing centers, drilling machines, sanders, and edge banding machines, as well as handling and storage systems. Dürr was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Bietigheim-Bissingen, Germany.
Stock analysis
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) currently trades at €16.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.38, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €55.95 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the €16.46 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €7.90, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €36.56 (bear) to €61.72 (bull), the price of €16.46 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €4.2B in FY2025 versus €3.5B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was €204M in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.3B · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) €−0.7000 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity −3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 200%, DUE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €36.56Fair Value €49.38Bull €61.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14% vs 2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 87% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.2% a year for the price and +0.0% for the forecasts.
Compare Dürr Aktiengesellschaft with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dürr Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DUE
Frequently asked questions
Is Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.38 versus a price of €16.46, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DUE?
Our model-based fair value for Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is €49.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €16.46.
What is the quality score of DUE?
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €49.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €36.56, optimistic scenario €61.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dürr Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €49.38, about +200% upside versus a price of €16.46 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €36.56, optimistic scenario €61.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Dürr Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dürr Aktiengesellschaft would have to grow free cash flow by -15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DUE use?
Our models discount Dürr Aktiengesellschaft at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.45, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dürr Aktiengesellschaft that is -15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft grew +4.6 % a year. The price currently implies -15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (-15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.09 %: that much free cash flow Dürr Aktiengesellschaft produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dürr Aktiengesellschaft it is €49.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €16.46. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dürr Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DUE trades below its calculated fair value: price €16.46, fair value €49.38, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DUE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€16.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€49.38). For Dürr Aktiengesellschaft the two are €32.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dürr Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values Dürr Aktiengesellschaft at about €1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €16.46; our models calculate a fair value of €49.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DUE?
Our models span a range for Dürr Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €36.56, base €49.38, optimistic €61.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €16.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DUE?
The PEG ratio of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 1.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.5%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DUE from its 52-week high?
Dürr Aktiengesellschaft trades at €16.46, about 32% below its 52-week high of €24.17 and at the low of €16.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €49.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dürr Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dürr Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €16.46, calculated fair value €49.38 (+200%), Quality Score 59/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DUE calculated?
We run Dürr Aktiengesellschaft through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €49.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dürr Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €16.46. Our model-based fair value is €49.38, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dürr Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€36.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) come from?
Earnings per share at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft grew −2.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −7.4 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The market capitalisation of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is €1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Earnings per share at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft are €−0.7000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The dividend yield of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 4.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The net margin of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
The operating margin of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Revenue at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE)?
Earnings per share at Dürr Aktiengesellschaft are growing −14.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dürr Aktiengesellschaft (DUE) carry?
The net debt of Dürr Aktiengesellschaft is €295M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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