Duncan Engineering Ltd-$ (DUNCANENG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.4B

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹126.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• The models converge in a tight band (₹123.19 to ₹126.53), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹103.13 – ₹882.99 · fair‑value band ₹123.19 – ₹126.53 · the ₹354.00 price screens above the ₹126.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Duncan Engineering Ltd-$ (DUNCANENG) currently trades at ₹354.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹126.53, implying the stock looks roughly 64.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Duncan Engineering Ltd-$ generated revenue of ₹807M at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 20.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at ₹34.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹123.19 (bear case) to ₹126.53 (bull case); at ₹354.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -64%, DUNCANENG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹235.24) versus Dividend Discount (₹34.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Duncan Engineering Limited manufactures, assembles, and trades in fluid power and automation products in India and internationally.

Full company description

Duncan Engineering Limited manufactures, assembles, and trades in fluid power and automation products in India and internationally. The company's products portfolio includes fluid power and automation products, such as air and hydraulic cylinders, pneumatic valves and accessories, positioners, air preparation units, and tubing and fitting products; valve automation systems, including rotary actuators, limit switch boxes, solenoid valves, coils, exhaust valves, speed controllers, and ball and butterfly valves; and control cards, valve stands, enclosed panels, and positioner cylinders. It also offers off-highway tire valves and tire accessories that include valve accessories, high pressure valves and inflating connections, bore valve extensions, tubeless non swivel valves, tubeless single bend swivel valves, and garage and in-plant service equipment, as well as tubeless tire valves and tire repair products. The company's products are used in metals, steel, energy and environment, cement, printing and packaging, pharmaceutical, machine tools, material handling, process, construction machinery, and other general engineering industries. It distributes its products through a network of sales offices, and channel partners and distributors. The company was formerly known as Schrader Duncan Limited and changed its name to Duncan Engineering Limited in December 2016. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Pune, India. Duncan Engineering Limited is a subsidiary of Oriental Carbon & Chemicals Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Duncan Engineering Ltd-$ reported revenue of ₹807M in FY2026 versus ₹557M in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹48.6M in FY2026, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2022.

DUNCANENG screens 64% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 818 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.