Develia S.A (DVL) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · PL · Market cap 5.0B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 13.95 PLN to 3.70 PLN (−73.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.60 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (2.14 PLN to 5.60 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.53 PLN – 11.18 PLN · fair‑value band 2.14 PLN – 5.60 PLN · the 10.48 PLN price screens above the 3.70 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Develia S.A (DVL) currently trades at 10.48 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.70 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Develia S.A generated revenue of 2.7B PLN at a net margin of 20.5%. Revenue grew 234.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.4%. Net debt stands at 385M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.14 PLN (bear case) to 5.60 PLN (bull case); at 10.48 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -65%, DVL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (18.53 PLN) versus Asset-Based (2.79 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Develia S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in real estate development business in Poland. It operates through Rental Services, Property Development Activity, and Holding (Other) Activity segments. The company's portfolio includes retail, service, and office spaces.
Full company description
Develia S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in real estate development business in Poland. It operates through Rental Services, Property Development Activity, and Holding (Other) Activity segments. The company's portfolio includes retail, service, and office spaces. It also engages in housing investment; rental and management of own or leased properties; completion of construction projects related to putting up buildings; buying and selling of own real property; and construction works related to the completion of residential and non-residential buildings. The company was formerly known as LC Corp S.A. and changed its name to Develia S.A. in September 2019. Develia S.A. was founded in 2006 and is based in Wroclaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Develia S.A reported revenue of 2.1B PLN in FY2025 versus 912M PLN in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was 443M PLN in FY2025, compounding +30.3%/yr from FY2021.
DVL screens 65% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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