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Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Destination XL Group Inc $0.75, price $0.59, upside +28.1%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US25065K1043

DX Destination XL Group Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Destination XL Group Inc

DXLG · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.7500 · Undervalued (+28%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.85 $0.4400 Fair Value $0.7500 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4400 – $8.85 · fair‑value band $0.6200 – $0.8900 · the $0.5855 price screens below the $0.7500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Destination XL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of big and tall men's clothing and footwear in the United States. The company's stores offer sportswear and dresswear; fashion-neutral items, including jeans, casual pants, t-shirts, polo shirts, dress shirts, and suit separates; and casual clothing.

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Destination XL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of big and tall men's clothing and footwear in the United States. The company's stores offer sportswear and dresswear; fashion-neutral items, including jeans, casual pants, t-shirts, polo shirts, dress shirts, and suit separates; and casual clothing. It also provides vintage-screen t-shirts and wovens under various private labels. The company offers its products under the Destination XL, DXL, DXL Men's Apparel, Big on Being Better, Casual Male, Casual Male XL, Continuous Comfort, FiTMAP, Harbor Bay, Oak Hill, Synrgy, Society of One, True Nation, Wear What You Want, Neck-Relaxer brand names. The company was formerly known as Casual Male Retail Group, Inc. and changed its name to Destination XL Group, Inc. in February 2013. Destination XL Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Canton, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) currently trades at $0.5855, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7500, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.31 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $0.5855 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.6000, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.6200 (bear) to $0.8900 (bull), the price of $0.5855 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Destination XL Group Inc reported revenue of $435M in FY2026 versus $505M in FY2022, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $38.7M · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7300 · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity −32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% · Operating margin −4.6% · Revenue (TTM) $433M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 28%, DXLG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6200 Fair Value $0.7500 Bull $0.8900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.6400 $0.7700 $0.9300 82
Growth DCF $0.6500 $0.7600 $0.9100 80
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5400 $0.6600 $0.8300 74
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.6400 $0.7700 $0.9300 82
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5400 $0.6600 $0.8300 74
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5800 $0.6800 $0.8000 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.4700 $0.6000 $0.7300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9800 $1.31 $1.96 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.6500 $0.7600 $0.9100 80

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.0% (2021) → −3.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.7% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +28% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 20.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 43.9× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.60× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)71 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX €52.90 €58.19 +10%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.84 HK$30.74 −9%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $131.63 $84.95 −35%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $233.98 $118.41 −49%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $256.85 $149.57 −42%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,774 ₹709.49 −74%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $102.28 $299.63 +193%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$125.27 C$137.80 +10%
The Gap, Inc GAP $21.46 $36.67 +71%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $75.02 $93.78 +25%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Destination XL Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DXLG

Frequently asked questions

Is Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7500 versus a price of $0.5855, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DXLG?
Our model-based fair value for Destination XL Group Inc is $0.7500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5855.
What is the quality score of DXLG?
Destination XL Group Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Destination XL Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7500, about +28% upside versus a price of $0.5855 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Destination XL Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $433M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Destination XL Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +25.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DXLG use?
Our models discount Destination XL Group Inc at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Destination XL Group Inc that is +25.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Destination XL Group Inc grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies +25.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Destination XL Group Inc (+25.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.87 %: that much free cash flow Destination XL Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Destination XL Group Inc it is $0.7500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.5855. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Destination XL Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DXLG trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5855, fair value $0.7500, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DXLG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5855); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7500). For Destination XL Group Inc the two are $0.1645 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Destination XL Group Inc worth?
The market values Destination XL Group Inc at about $38.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.5855; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DXLG?
Our models span a range for Destination XL Group Inc: cautious scenario $0.6200, base $0.7500, optimistic $0.8900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.5855). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of DXLG?
The PEG ratio of Destination XL Group Inc is 1.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Destination XL Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −32.8%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DXLG from its 52-week high?
Destination XL Group Inc trades at $0.5855, about 62% below its 52-week high of $1.56 and 33% above the low of $0.4400 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Destination XL Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Destination XL Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.5855, calculated fair value $0.7500 (+28%), Quality Score 42/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DXLG calculated?
We run Destination XL Group Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Destination XL Group Inc currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.5855. Our model-based fair value is $0.7500, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Destination XL Group Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Destination XL Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The market capitalisation of Destination XL Group Inc is $38.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Destination XL Group Inc is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Earnings per share at Destination XL Group Inc are $−0.7300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The net margin of Destination XL Group Inc is −8.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Destination XL Group Inc is −32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Destination XL Group Inc is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
The operating margin of Destination XL Group Inc is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Revenue at Destination XL Group Inc is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG)?
Earnings per share at Destination XL Group Inc are growing −77.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Destination XL Group Inc (DXLG) carry?
The net debt of Destination XL Group Inc is $185M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 99.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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