Destination XL Group (DXLG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $38.7M
Destination XL Group
DXLG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $1.31 to $0.5700 (−56.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $0.4600 (bear) to $0.7200 (bull), base $0.5700. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4400 – $8.85 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.7200 · the $0.6402 price screens above the $0.5700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Destination XL Group (DXLG) currently trades at $0.6402, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5700, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Destination XL Group generated revenue of $433M at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.8%. Net debt stands at $185M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4600 (bear case) to $0.7200 (bull case); at $0.6402, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -11%, DXLG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.31) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Destination XL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of big and tall men's clothing and footwear in the United States. The company's stores offer sportswear and dresswear; fashion-neutral items, including jeans, casual pants, t-shirts, polo shirts, dress shirts, and suit separates; and casual clothing.
Full company description
Destination XL Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of big and tall men's clothing and footwear in the United States. The company's stores offer sportswear and dresswear; fashion-neutral items, including jeans, casual pants, t-shirts, polo shirts, dress shirts, and suit separates; and casual clothing. It also provides vintage-screen t-shirts and wovens under various private labels. The company offers its products under the Destination XL, DXL, DXL Men's Apparel, Big on Being Better, Casual Male, Casual Male XL, Continuous Comfort, FiTMAP, Harbor Bay, Oak Hill, Synrgy, Society of One, True Nation, Wear What You Want, Neck-Relaxer brand names. The company was formerly known as Casual Male Retail Group, Inc. and changed its name to Destination XL Group, Inc. in February 2013. Destination XL Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Canton, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Destination XL Group reported revenue of $435M in FY2026 versus $505M in FY2022, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.9M in FY2026.
DXLG screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 106 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX | €58.44 | €23.29 | -60% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $154.46 | $84.95 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$40.00 | HK$15.37 | -62% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.46 | $118.41 | -49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $327.72 | $147.08 | -55% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,903 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $116.33 | $299.63 | +158% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$160.05 | C$87.26 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.35 | $37.12 | +82% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $72.95 | $92.88 | +27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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