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Decent Holding Inc (DXST) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Decent Holding Inc $3.49, price $1.68, upside +108.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · Based in China · ISIN KYG2748R2055

DH Decent Holding Inc logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Decent Holding Inc

DXST · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 52% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $3.49 · Strongly undervalued (+108.0%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +53.3 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Quality 28/100
Loss-making · -3.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$101.50 $1.56 Fair Value $3.49 Jan 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $1.56 – $101.50 · fair‑value band $2.30 – $4.37 · the $1.68 price screens below the $3.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Decent Holding Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides industrial wastewater treatment services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers ecological river restoration and river ecosystem management services.

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It also provides microbial products, including COD decreasing, algae removal, and ammonia nitrogen decreasing bacteria, as well as river conditioner that are used to enhance water quality, remove pollutants, and treat black odor water.

The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Yantai, the People's Republic of China. Decent Holding Inc. is a subsidiary of Decent Limited.

Stock analysis

Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares (DXST) currently trades at $1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.49, implying the stock looks roughly 51.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $2.30 (bear) to $4.37 (bull), the price of $1.68 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $12.9M in FY2025 versus $3.1M in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$322K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.4M · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3200 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.7% · Operating margin −4.7% · Revenue (TTM) $26.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 97% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 108%, DXST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.30 Fair Value $3.49 Bull $4.37
Price $1.68 · Upside +108.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $2.39 $3.21 $4.79 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.39 $3.21 $4.79 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 1
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.1% (2021) → −1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 156 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +107.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 238.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.21× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥13.18 ¥20.95 +59% vs DXST
Waste Management, Inc WM $215.75 $237.33 +10% vs DXST
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.16 $170.68 +10% vs DXST
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14% vs DXST
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.33 $34.27 −19% vs DXST
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.50 €7.30 −30% vs DXST
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.09 €20.32 −35% vs DXST
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.75 $128.63 −41% vs DXST
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.93 $155.54 −51% vs DXST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $83.78 $14.82 −82% vs DXST

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DXST

Frequently asked questions

Is Decent Holding Inc (DXST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.49 versus a price of $1.68, about +108% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DXST?
Our model-based fair value for Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is $3.49 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.68.
What is the quality score of DXST?
Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.49 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $4.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.49, about +108% upside versus a price of $1.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.30, optimistic scenario $4.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares it is $3.49 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $1.68. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, DXST trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.68, fair value $3.49, a gap of about +108% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DXST?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.49). For Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares the two are $1.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares at about $5.4M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $1.68; our models calculate a fair value of $3.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DXST?
Our models span a range for Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $2.30, base $3.49, optimistic $4.37 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $1.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −8.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DXST from its 52-week high?
Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares trades at $1.68, about 97% below its 52-week high of $51.75 and 8% above the low of $1.56 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $1.68, calculated fair value $3.49 (+108%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DXST calculated?
We run Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was $1.68. Our model-based fair value is $3.49, about +108% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.30 to $4.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The market capitalisation of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is $5.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Earnings per share at Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares are $−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The net margin of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is 15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
The operating margin of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Revenue at Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is growing +238% versus a year earlier (3y avg +53.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Decent Holding Inc (DXST)?
Earnings per share at Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares are growing −93.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Decent Holding Inc (DXST) generate?
The free cash flow of Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares is −$3.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Decent Holding Inc (DXST) hold?
Decent Holding Inc Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $466K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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