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Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Essex Property Trust Inc. BRL 60.01, price BRL 141, upside -57.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · BR · Home US

EP Some data Oct 3, 2026

Essex Property Trust Inc.

E1SS34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$60.01 · Strongly overvalued (−57.4%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 29.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓7.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Ranks above peers (8/11)
✓Wide moat 68/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$183.45 R$93.10 Fair Value R$60.01 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$93.10 – R$183.45 · fair‑value band R$39.33 – R$101.16 · the R$140.84 price screens above the R$60.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Essex Property Trust, Inc., an S&P 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust. The firm acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages multifamily residential properties in selected West Coast markets.

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Essex Property Trust, Inc., an S&P 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust. The firm acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages multifamily residential properties in selected West Coast markets. Essex currently has ownership interests in 259 apartment communities comprising over 63,000 apartment homes with an additional property in active development. Essex Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 in Maryland and is based in San Mateo, United States.

Stock analysis

Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34) currently trades at R$140.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$60.01, 57.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$100.40 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$140.84 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$30.17, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$39.33 (bear) to R$101.16 (bull), the price of R$140.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Essex Property Trust Inc. reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $670M in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap R$97.1B (≈ $18.6B) · P/E ratio 30.3 · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) R$4.61 · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin 35.5% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −57%, E1SS34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$39.33 Fair Value R$60.01 Bull R$101.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$47.85 R$100.40 R$178.54 77
Growth DCF R$50.09 R$97.45 R$164.08 76
Residual Income R$42.04 R$48.60 R$61.63 76
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$47.85 R$100.40 R$178.54 77
5Y Revenue Exit R$22.30 R$60.14 R$107.05 69
5Y EBITDA Exit R$70.79 R$149.11 R$239.00 73
10Y Revenue Exit R$28.74 R$65.04 R$111.17 64
10Y EBITDA Exit R$61.40 R$126.18 R$210.12 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$48.80 R$101.47 R$160.98 66
DDM Multi-Stage R$48.80 R$77.37 R$106.50 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple R$69.39 R$92.52 R$115.64 58
P/B Multiple R$67.55 R$90.07 R$112.58 55
EV/EBIT R$65.84 R$106.00 R$146.17 64
EV/EBITDA R$101.41 R$153.43 R$205.44 66
EV/Revenue R$11.81 R$40.29 R$68.76 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$22.52 R$30.17 R$45.03 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$50.09 R$97.45 R$164.08 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$22.20 R$58.72 R$98.45 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$42.04 R$48.60 R$61.63 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+10.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 48%
2025 sits 64% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

E1SS34 screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Comcast Holdings →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 47 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.23× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 7.45× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)45 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)32 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)42 · sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)39 · sector 58
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 95

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Comcast Holdings CCZ $64.67 $71.54 +11%
Sun Communities, Inc SUI $112.26 $152.95 +36%
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA $118.43 $122.78 +4%
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH $30.64 $53.24 +74%
UDR, Inc UDR $33.84 $34.92 +3%
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS $59.23 $31.11 −47%
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT $96.62 $53.80 −44%
Unum Group UNMA $21.59 $30.29 +40%
Millrose Properties, Inc MRP $25.20 $41.87 +66%
Independence Realty Trust, Inc IRT $14.83 $12.81 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Essex Property Trust Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/E1SS34

Frequently asked questions

Is Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$60.01 versus a price of R$140.84, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of E1SS34?
Our model-based fair value for Essex Property Trust Inc. is R$60.01 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$140.84.
What is the quality score of E1SS34?
Essex Property Trust Inc. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$60.01 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$39.33, optimistic scenario R$101.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Essex Property Trust Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$60.01, about −57% upside versus a price of R$140.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$39.33, optimistic scenario R$101.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Essex Property Trust Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Essex Property Trust Inc. pay a dividend?
Essex Property Trust Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.31% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Essex Property Trust Inc. it is R$60.01 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$140.84. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Essex Property Trust Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, E1SS34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$140.84, fair value R$60.01, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of E1SS34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$140.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$60.01). For Essex Property Trust Inc. the two are R$80.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Essex Property Trust Inc. worth?
The market values Essex Property Trust Inc. at about R$97.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$140.84; our models calculate a fair value of R$60.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about E1SS34?
Our models span a range for Essex Property Trust Inc.: cautious scenario R$39.33, base R$60.01, optimistic R$101.16 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$140.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of E1SS34?
Essex Property Trust Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$60.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 7.5.
What is the PEG ratio of E1SS34?
The PEG ratio of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 7.45 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Essex Property Trust Inc. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 1.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is E1SS34 from its 52-week high?
Essex Property Trust Inc. trades at R$140.84, about 8% below its 52-week high of R$153.82 and 14% above the low of R$123.02 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$60.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Essex Property Trust Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Comcast Holdings, Sun Communities, Inc, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc, American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner), among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Essex Property Trust Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$140.84, calculated fair value R$60.01 (−57%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of E1SS34 calculated?
We run Essex Property Trust Inc. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$60.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Essex Property Trust Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$140.84. Our model-based fair value is R$60.01, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Essex Property Trust Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$101.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$39.33 to R$101.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Essex Property Trust Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The market capitalisation of Essex Property Trust Inc. is R$97.1B (≈ $18.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 10.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Earnings per share at Essex Property Trust Inc. are R$4.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The dividend yield of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 7.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The net margin of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 35.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
The operating margin of Essex Property Trust Inc. is 35.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Revenue at Essex Property Trust Inc. is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34)?
Earnings per share at Essex Property Trust Inc. are growing −47.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34) generate?
The free cash flow of Essex Property Trust Inc. is $934M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Essex Property Trust Inc. (E1SS34) carry?
The net debt of Essex Property Trust Inc. is $6.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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