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Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Elastic N.V. BRL 41.62, price BRL 37.84, upside +10.0%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · BR · Home US

EN Some data Sep 23, 2026

Elastic N.V.

E2ST34 · SA

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value R$41.62 · Fairly valued (+10.0%)
✓Quality 66/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +17.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 21.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range R$25.80 to R$75.93
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$84.00 R$17.88 Fair Value R$41.62 Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$17.88 – R$84.00 · fair‑value band R$25.80 – R$75.93 · the R$37.84 price screens below the R$41.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally.

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Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic's Search AI Platform, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company also provides Elastic search product a distributed, real-time vector database and analytics engine and data store for all types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the platforms; Elasticsearch search platform, a platform with retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; and elastic security, a security solution that provides unified protection to prevent, detect, and respond to threats. In addition, it offers Elastic Observability, a solution that enables unified analysis, including Logs analytics to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; infrastructure monitoring to gain visibility across cloud, on-premises, Kubernetes, serverless, and hosts; Application Performance Monitoring to stream native production-grade; digital experience monitoring; and large language models. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) currently trades at R$37.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$41.62, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$38.94 per share, and 6 of the 18 models we run sit above the R$37.84 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at R$11.75, and 12 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$25.80 (bear) to R$75.93 (bull), the price of R$37.84 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Elastic N.V. reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2026 versus $862M in FY2022, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was $368M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap R$33.4B (≈ $6.4B) · P/E ratio 25.6 · P/S ratio 5.41 · EPS (TTM) R$1.48 · Net margin 21.1% · Return on equity 33.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.4% · Operating margin −3.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 10%, E2ST34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$25.80 Fair Value R$41.62 Bull R$75.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.6325 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$20.98 R$35.84 R$74.10 72
Growth DCF R$20.23 R$39.22 R$71.85 71
Owner Earnings R$24.09 R$49.38 R$98.06 69
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$20.98 R$35.84 R$74.10 72
Owner Earnings R$24.09 R$49.38 R$98.06 69
5Y Revenue Exit R$12.42 R$20.70 R$33.14 68
5Y P/E Exit R$23.13 R$45.55 R$73.51 66
10Y Revenue Exit R$14.76 R$24.45 R$38.19 63
10Y P/E Exit R$22.30 R$43.08 R$77.02 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$10.47 R$66.45 R$92.87 61
Lynch FV R$19.21 R$27.44 R$35.67 58
PEG = 1.0 R$19.21 R$27.44 R$35.67 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$24.24 R$32.32 R$40.40 63
P/S Multiple R$8.73 R$11.65 R$14.56 58
P/B Multiple R$19.62 R$26.16 R$32.70 55
EV/Revenue R$8.47 R$11.75 R$15.02 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$2.67 R$3.58 R$5.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$20.23 R$39.22 R$71.85 71
Rev-Margin DCF R$12.42 R$20.86 R$32.95 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$9.47 R$13.95 R$30.70 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$27.26 R$38.94 R$50.62 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+79.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+79.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−20% → −2%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−39.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −40.9% a year for the price and +9.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+14.6%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+14.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+12.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+11.3%
Projected 2031 (sales)+9.7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 684 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside +5.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 33.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets −0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 21.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.45× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.20× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)80 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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R$41.62 +9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elastic N.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/E2ST34

Frequently asked questions

Is Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$41.62 versus a price of R$37.84, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of E2ST34?
Our model-based fair value for Elastic N.V. is R$41.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$37.84.
What is the quality score of E2ST34?
Elastic N.V. has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$41.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$25.80, optimistic scenario R$75.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Elastic N.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$41.62, about +10% upside versus a price of R$37.84 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$25.80, optimistic scenario R$75.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Elastic N.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Elastic N.V. would have to grow free cash flow by -39.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +19.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of E2ST34 use?
Our models discount Elastic N.V. at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Elastic N.V. that is -39.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Elastic N.V. grew +19.2 % a year. The price currently implies -39.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Elastic N.V. (-39.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 42.40 %: that much free cash flow Elastic N.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Elastic N.V. it is R$41.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of R$37.84. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Elastic N.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, E2ST34 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$37.84, fair value R$41.62, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of E2ST34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$37.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$41.62). For Elastic N.V. the two are R$3.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Elastic N.V. worth?
The market values Elastic N.V. at about R$33.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is R$37.84; our models calculate a fair value of R$41.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about E2ST34?
Our models span a range for Elastic N.V.: cautious scenario R$25.80, base R$41.62, optimistic R$75.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price R$37.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of E2ST34?
Elastic N.V. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$41.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.2.
What is the PEG ratio of E2ST34?
The PEG ratio of Elastic N.V. is 4.20 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Elastic N.V. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 33.4%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is E2ST34 from its 52-week high?
Elastic N.V. trades at R$37.84, about 13% below its 52-week high of R$43.72 and 112% above the low of R$17.88 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$41.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Elastic N.V.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Elastic N.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price R$37.84, calculated fair value R$41.62 (+10%), Quality Score 66/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of E2ST34 calculated?
We run Elastic N.V. through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$41.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Elastic N.V. currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$37.84. Our model-based fair value is R$41.62, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Elastic N.V. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (R$25.80 to R$75.93). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Elastic N.V.

How large is the market capitalisation of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The market capitalisation of Elastic N.V. is R$33.4B (≈ $6.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Elastic N.V. is 5.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Earnings per share at Elastic N.V. are R$1.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The net margin of Elastic N.V. is 21.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Elastic N.V. is 33.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Elastic N.V. is −6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
The operating margin of Elastic N.V. is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Elastic N.V. (E2ST34)?
Revenue at Elastic N.V. is growing +16.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Elastic N.V. (E2ST34) carry?
The net debt of Elastic N.V. is $28.2M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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