GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD (E5H) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 3.4B SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.6600 SGD to 0.4298 SGD (−34.9%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price +7.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.3256 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1713 SGD – 0.3450 SGD · fair‑value band 0.3256 SGD – 0.5405 SGD · the 0.2950 SGD price screens below the 0.4298 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD (E5H) currently trades at 0.2950 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4298 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 45.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD generated revenue of 13.1B SGD at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at 2.7B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.3256 SGD (bear case) to 0.5405 SGD (bull case); at 0.2950 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 46%, E5H screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (0.9000 SGD) versus Economic Profit (0.2600 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated palm oil plantation company in China, Indonesia, India, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Plantations and Palm Oil Mills; and Palm, Laurics and Others segments.
Full company description
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated palm oil plantation company in China, Indonesia, India, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Plantations and Palm Oil Mills; and Palm, Laurics and Others segments. It offers snacks and instant noodles; edible oils, such as sunflower, rice bran, mustard, groundnut, and palm olein; margarines, shortenings, sauces, and beverages; and specialty fats, as well as trades in, buys, and sells crude and refined palm olein, palm kernel, sunflower, and soybean oils. The company also provides palm-derived oleochemicals; palm-based bioenergy; shipping and logistics; IT consultancy, IT application design, development and maintenance, and facilities for data center resources and other IT outsourcing; maintenance services for palm oil processing units; records and document management services; and construction services. In addition, it is involved in sugar storage and distribution business; seed production; treasury management; business and management consultancy activities; commercial and industrial real estate management and property investment; operation of bulking stations, export, import, and administration of transportation services; general wholesale trade; ship management; training; toll crushing of oilseeds and toll processing of biscuit shortening; sale of food products; forestry, carbon storage, and absorption services; port and storage facilities activities; and refinery operations. Further, the company engages in the building management; office administration; food and nutrition and animal nutrition; marine terminal facilities operation; aerial manuring; palm oil and stearin trading; and marine cargo ownership and operation businesses. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD reported revenue of 13.0B SGD in FY2025 versus 10.2B SGD in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 400M SGD in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 297 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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