Earthstahl & Alloys Ltd (EARTH) Fair Value & Analysis
IN · Market cap ₹184M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 145% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹20.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (₹20.72 to ₹48.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range ₹13.69 – ₹73.66 · fair‑value band ₹20.72 – ₹48.84 · the ₹14.20 price screens below the ₹34.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Earthstahl & Alloys Ltd (EARTH) currently trades at ₹14.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹34.78, implying the stock looks roughly 144.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Earthstahl & Alloys Ltd generated revenue of ₹616M at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue declined 22.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.0%. Net debt stands at ₹148M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹20.72 (bear case) to ₹48.84 (bull case); at ₹14.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹39.88) versus Asset-Based (₹17.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Earthstahl & Alloys Ltd reported revenue of ₹616M in FY2026 versus ₹489M in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹49.0M in FY2026.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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