GREEN EARTH GROUP N.V. (EARTH) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · Market cap €14.1M · ISIN NL0009169515
What is GREEN EARTH GROUP N.V. really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 78% below our fair value of €4.66.
As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of GREEN EARTH GROUP N.V. is €4.66 per share against a price of €1.04, so the fair value sits 348% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −10.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€4.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range €0.5500 – €1.60 · fair‑value band €4.25 – €5.27 · the €1.04 price screens below the €4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
GREEN EARTH GROUP N.V. (EARTH) currently trades at €1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 77.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €267K. Revenue declined 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −54.1%. Net debt stands at €18.6M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €4.25 (bear case) to €5.27 (bull case); at €1.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 348%, EARTH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Green Earth Group N.V. invests in, develops, and manages carbon credits and biodiversity projects for businesses and governments in the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Green Earth Group N.V. invests in, develops, and manages carbon credits and biodiversity projects for businesses and governments in the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally. It offers nature-based solutions such as removing or avoiding carbon emissions, tackling environmental challenges; manages projects that focuses on ecosystem restoration, habitat conservation, and biodiversity enrichment; and undertakes plastic projects, which consists of removing and recycling plastic, waste reduction, and environmental conservation works, as well as carbon offsetting projects for reducing carbon footprint of companies. The company also provides ESG reporting and tree integration services. The company was formerly known as DGB Group N.V. and changed its name to Green Earth Group N.V. in September 2025. Green Earth Group N.V. was founded in 1957 and is based in Lelystad, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GREEN EARTH GROUP N.V. reported revenue of €267K in FY2025 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −€4.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $182.07 | $145.26 | −20% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$92.39 | C$33.38 | −64% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $88.29 | $107.07 | +21% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $77.12 | $51.39 | −33% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹751.05 | ₹201.01 | −73% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.77 | C$4.54 | −69% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.69 | C$6.43 | −53% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.11 | ¥0.6700 | −78% |
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