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Electronic City Indonesia Tbk (ECII) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 190B IDR (≈ $19.0M) · ISIN ID1000127905

EC Electronic City Indonesia Tbk ECII · JK
Price157.00 IDR
Fair Value167.47 IDR
Upside+6.7%
Quality42/100
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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
Loss-making · -6.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range 110.53 IDR – 209.34 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −8.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (110.53 IDR to 209.34 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,086 IDR 111.00 IDR Fair Value 167.47 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 111.00 IDR – 1,086 IDR · fair‑value band 110.53 IDR – 209.34 IDR · the 157.00 IDR price screens below the 167.47 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Electronic City Indonesia Tbk (ECII) currently trades at 157.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 167.47 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Electronic City Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 2.2T IDR at a net margin of -6.6%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 277B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 110.53 IDR (bear case) to 209.34 IDR (bull case); at 157.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 7%, ECII screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 407.54 IDR 546.10 IDR 815.07 IDR 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 407.54 IDR 546.10 IDR 815.07 IDR 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.09 TTM
EPS (TTM) -115.25 IDR
Net margin -6.9% FY2025
Return on equity -13.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -1.8% avg 5y
Operating margin -0.4% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.2T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6% 3y avg -0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +131%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −32.2B IDR FY2025
Net cash 277B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Electronic City Indonesia Tbk engages in the trade of electronic goods in Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Sales of Branded Electronic Goods, Rents, and Others.

Full company description

PT Electronic City Indonesia Tbk engages in the trade of electronic goods in Indonesia. It operates through three segments: Sales of Branded Electronic Goods, Rents, and Others. The company offers audio-video products, such as TV, brackets, TV antennas, speakers, karaoke monitors, subwoofers, and amplifiers; home appliances, including vacuum cleaners, cooker hoods, dispensers, water heaters, washing machines, refrigerators, freezers, showcase refrigerators, air conditioners, fans, and air purifiers; camera and office equipment comprising cameras, memory cards, camera lens, tripods, handycams, printers, ink/cartridges, projectors, tripod screens, and telephones; and information technology and gadgets consisting mobile phones, tablets, smartwatches, accessories, laptops, mouse, USB, adapters, keyboards, PlayStation, PlayStation controllers, and PlayStation games. It also provides mom and baby products, such as tableware, food baby makers, bags, toys, and strollers, as well as various electronic and non-electronic products; small appliances, including rice cookers, blenders, ovens, electric kettles, mixers, juicers, stoves, choppers, electric iron, hair dryers, hair straighteners, shavers, hair clippers, digital thermometers, blood pressure monitors, nebulizers, oximeters, digital scales, and massage guns; and electric vehicles comprising electric bicycles and motorcycles. In addition, the company offers electronic city store services; and engages in the property and retail business. PT Electronic City Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Electronic City Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 2.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −150B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 20/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2T IDR
Latest YoY
−9.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 1.8T IDR
FY22 2.2T IDR
FY23 2.5T IDR
FY24 2.4T IDR
FY25 2.2T IDR
Net income
FY21 8.7B IDR
FY22 12.4B IDR
FY23 13.1B IDR
FY24 8.5B IDR
FY25 −150B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Electronic City Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECII

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE42 · sector 31
FUTURE0 · sector 25
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$89.93 C$104.32 +16%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $807.12 $398.90 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $237.43 $162.63 -32%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $543.19 $475.40 -12%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $202.66 $181.10 -11%
Best Buy Co BBY $87.44 $108.04 +24%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥54.97 ¥40.40 -27%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $35.01 $35.52 +1%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $259.41 $117.29 -55%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $574.12 $423.35 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Electronic City Indonesia Tbk (ECII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 167.47 IDR versus a price of 157.00 IDR, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ECII?
Our model-based fair value for Electronic City Indonesia Tbk is 167.47 IDR (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 157.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ECII?
Electronic City Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Electronic City Indonesia Tbk (ECII)?
Electronic City Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECII?
The net profit margin of Electronic City Indonesia Tbk is about -6.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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