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Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ecomembrane S.p.A. €5.68, price €6.80, upside -16.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · IT · ISIN IT0005543332

ES Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Ecomembrane S.p.A.

ECMB · MI

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value €5.68 · Overvalued (−16%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +21.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.41% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Weak on valuation: 11 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€9.48 €3.36 Fair Value €5.68 Apr 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range €3.36 – €9.48 · fair‑value band €3.02 – €8.79 · the €6.80 price screens above the €5.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Ecomembrane S.p.A. manufactures and sells gasholders, gasholder domes, and PVC-coated fabric membrane covers in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally.

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Ecomembrane S.p.A. manufactures and sells gasholders, gasholder domes, and PVC-coated fabric membrane covers in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers 3Master, a 3 membrane gasholder; 2Master, a 2 membrane gasholder; Cupola M3, a 3 membrane gasholder dome; Cupola M2, a 2 membrane gasholder dome; Cupola M2 heat shield option; Econtainer; 2Master on platform, a 2 master gasholder on platform; double membrane cover for lagoons; CO2 Master, a double membrane gasholder; H2 Master, a 3 membrane gasholder; and M1 and FLC Cover, an odor control-covers. Its products are used in agricultural, livestock/industrial, industrial, and wastewater treatment plants, as well as landfills applications. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Cremona, Italy.

Stock analysis

Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB) currently trades at €6.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.68, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €16.08 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the €6.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.50, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €3.02 (bear) to €8.79 (bull), the price of €6.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ecomembrane S.p.A. reported revenue of €25.7M in FY2025 versus €11.7M in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €29.1M · P/E ratio 25.2 · P/S ratio 1.12 · EPS (TTM) €0.2700 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −16%, ECMB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €3.02 Fair Value €5.68 Bull €8.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1278 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €3.39 €3.86 €4.26 71
ROIC Compounder €3.39 €4.05 €5.08 69
Owner Earnings €7.50 €16.08 €33.43 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €7.50 €16.08 €33.43 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.81 €12.65 €17.75 60
Lynch FV €4.73 €6.76 €8.79 58
PEG = 1.0 €4.73 €6.76 €8.79 55
EPV €3.39 €3.86 €4.26 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.40 €4.53 €5.67 63
P/S Multiple €3.40 €4.53 €5.67 58
P/B Multiple €3.40 €4.53 €5.67 55
EV/EBIT €4.76 €6.19 €7.63 66
EV/EBITDA €5.64 €7.37 €9.10 67
EV/Revenue €4.18 €5.78 €7.38 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.86 €2.50 €3.72 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.99 €3.13 €3.32 68
ROIC Compounder €3.39 €4.05 €5.08 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €5.60 €8.01 €10.41 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 7%

ECMB screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.27× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)34 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)28 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Ecomembrane S.p.A. · Fair Value
€5.68 −20%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ecomembrane S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECMB

Frequently asked questions

Is Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.68 versus a price of €6.80, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ECMB?
Our model-based fair value for Ecomembrane S.p.A. is €5.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.80.
What is the quality score of ECMB?
Ecomembrane S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.02, optimistic scenario €8.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ecomembrane S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.68, about −16% upside versus a price of €6.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.02, optimistic scenario €8.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Ecomembrane S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €26.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Ecomembrane S.p.A. pay a dividend?
Ecomembrane S.p.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ecomembrane S.p.A. it is €5.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €6.80. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ecomembrane S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ECMB trades above its calculated fair value: price €6.80, fair value €5.68, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ECMB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€6.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.68). For Ecomembrane S.p.A. the two are €1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ecomembrane S.p.A. worth?
The market values Ecomembrane S.p.A. at about €29.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €6.80; our models calculate a fair value of €5.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ECMB?
Our models span a range for Ecomembrane S.p.A.: cautious scenario €3.02, base €5.68, optimistic €8.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €6.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ECMB?
Ecomembrane S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 15.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ecomembrane S.p.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ECMB from its 52-week high?
Ecomembrane S.p.A. trades at €6.80, about 2% below its 52-week high of €6.95 and 97% above the low of €3.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ecomembrane S.p.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ecomembrane S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €6.80, calculated fair value €5.68 (−16%), Quality Score 50/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ECMB calculated?
We run Ecomembrane S.p.A. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ecomembrane S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €6.80. Our model-based fair value is €5.68, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ecomembrane S.p.A. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€3.02 to €8.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Ecomembrane S.p.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The market capitalisation of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is €29.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 1.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Earnings per share at Ecomembrane S.p.A. are €0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The dividend yield of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 1.4% (payout 35.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The net margin of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 9.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
The operating margin of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB)?
Revenue at Ecomembrane S.p.A. is growing +24.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB) generate?
The free cash flow of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is −€1.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ecomembrane S.p.A. (ECMB) carry?
The net debt of Ecomembrane S.p.A. is €1.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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