Ecomembrane S.p.A (ECMB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €25.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from €5.09 to €4.65 (−8.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from €3.40 (bear) to €5.92 (bull), base €4.65. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range €3.36 – €9.48 · fair‑value band €3.40 – €5.92 · the €5.50 price screens above the €4.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Ecomembrane S.p.A (ECMB) currently trades at €5.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.65, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ecomembrane S.p.A generated revenue of €26.0M at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 24.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at €1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €3.40 (bear case) to €5.92 (bull case); at €5.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -15%, ECMB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€9.98) versus Asset-Based (€2.50). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ecomembrane S.p.A. manufactures and sells gasholders, gasholder domes, and PVC-coated fabric membrane covers in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Ecomembrane S.p.A. manufactures and sells gasholders, gasholder domes, and PVC-coated fabric membrane covers in Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers 3Master, a 3 membrane gasholder; 2Master, a 2 membrane gasholder; Cupola M3, a 3 membrane gasholder dome; Cupola M2, a 2 membrane gasholder dome; Cupola M2 heat shield option; Econtainer; 2Master on platform, a 2 master gasholder on platform; double membrane cover for lagoons; CO2 Master, a double membrane gasholder; H2 Master, a 3 membrane gasholder; and M1 and FLC Cover, an odor control-covers. Its products are used in agricultural, livestock/industrial, industrial, and wastewater treatment plants, as well as landfills applications. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Cremona, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ecomembrane S.p.A reported revenue of €25.7M in FY2025 versus €11.7M in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.
ECMB screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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