ECARX Holdings (ECX) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $404M
ECARX Holdings
ECX · US
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −11.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 176% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8232 – $10.75 · fair‑value band $2.28 – $3.80 · the $1.10 price screens below the $3.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
ECARX Holdings (ECX) currently trades at $1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.04, implying the stock looks roughly 176.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ECARX Holdings generated revenue of $812M at a net margin of -6.2%. Revenue declined 25.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $349M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.28 (bear case) to $3.80 (bull case); at $1.10, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 176%, ECX screens cheaper than that median.
Notify me when ECX reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ECARX Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides automotive computing platforms in China and internationally. The company offers intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving, and fusion platforms, as well as System-on-a-Chip and Cloudpeak software.
Full company description
ECARX Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides automotive computing platforms in China and internationally. The company offers intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving, and fusion platforms, as well as System-on-a-Chip and Cloudpeak software. It also provides infotainment head units, digital cockpits, autonomous driving control units, vehicle chip-set solutions, core operating systems, and integrated software stacks; automotive electronic components, including resistor, capacitor, and circuit board; and services, such as automotive computing platform design and development, connectivity, and technical consulting services. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ECARX Holdings reported revenue of $848M in FY2025 versus $2.8B in FY2021, a compound −25.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.0M in FY2025.
Watch ECX: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ECARX upsizes 2025 convertible senior notes to $130M
- Ecarx to acquire the Flyme entire software business
- ECARX To Buy Flyme Software Business From DreamSmart For $266 Mln, Stock Climbs In Pre-market
- ECARX to buy entire Flyme software business
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
Compare ECARX Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is ECARX Holdings (ECX) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ECX?
What is the quality score of ECX?
What is the revenue of ECARX Holdings (ECX)?
What is the net profit margin of ECX?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track ECARX Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.