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ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG292011031

EH ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A logo Thin data Jun 23, 2026

ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A

ECX · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $3.04 · Strongly undervalued (+176%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −17.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.75 $0.8232 Fair Value $3.04 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8232 – $10.75 · fair‑value band $2.28 – $3.80 · the $1.10 price screens below the $3.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Company profile

ECARX Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides automotive computing platforms in China and internationally. The company offers intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving, and fusion platforms, as well as System-on-a-Chip and Cloudpeak software.

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ECARX Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides automotive computing platforms in China and internationally. The company offers intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving, and fusion platforms, as well as System-on-a-Chip and Cloudpeak software. It also provides infotainment head units, digital cockpits, autonomous driving control units, vehicle chip-set solutions, core operating systems, and integrated software stacks; automotive electronic components, including resistor, capacitor, and circuit board; and services, such as automotive computing platform design and development, connectivity, and technical consulting services. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares (ECX) currently trades at $1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.04, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $2.28 (bear) to $3.80 (bull), the price of $1.10 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares reported revenue of $848M in FY2025 versus $2.8B in FY2021, a compound −25.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $404M · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1500 · Net margin −7.8% · Return on equity −2,238% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.9% · Operating margin −9.9% · Revenue (TTM) $812M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 176%, ECX screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−84.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.2% (2020) → −6.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +187% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −26% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹164.40 ₹96.97 −41%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹47,955 ₹25,325 −47%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,004 ₹407.35 −80%
Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co 002920 ¥84.71 ¥68.21 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECX

Frequently asked questions

Is ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.04 versus a price of $1.10, about +176% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ECX?
Our model-based fair value for ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is $3.04 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.10.
What is the quality score of ECX?
ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.04 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.28, optimistic scenario $3.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.04, about +176% upside versus a price of $1.10 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.28, optimistic scenario $3.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $812M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares it is $3.04 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of $1.10. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, ECX trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.10, fair value $3.04, a gap of about +176% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ECX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.04). For ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares the two are $1.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares worth?
The market values ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares at about $404M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.10; our models calculate a fair value of $3.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ECX?
Our models span a range for ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares: cautious scenario $2.28, base $3.04, optimistic $3.80 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price $1.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
Balance-sheet figures for ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ECX from its 52-week high?
ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares trades at $1.10, about 58% below its 52-week high of $2.64 and 25% above the low of $0.8816 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price $1.10, calculated fair value $3.04 (+176%), Quality Score 31/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ECX calculated?
We run ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares currently trades 176 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $1.10. Our model-based fair value is $3.04, about +176% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares

How large is the market capitalisation of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The market capitalisation of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is $404M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
Earnings per share at ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares are $−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The net margin of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is −7.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is −2,238% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is −8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
The operating margin of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is −9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX)?
Revenue at ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is growing −25.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX) generate?
The free cash flow of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is −$107M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A (ECX) carry?
The net debt of ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares is $349M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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