Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $4.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range $13.28 – $42.70 · fair‑value band $3.73 – $6.22 · the $34.87 price screens above the $4.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE) currently trades at $34.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.97, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Excelerate Energy, Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 37.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $889M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.73 (bear case) to $6.22 (bull case); at $34.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -86%, EE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($19.16) versus Dividend Discount ($0.9300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Excelerate Energy, Inc. owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas infrastructure assets. The company operates floating regasification terminals. It also offers various terminal services, including providing the crew, and technical and other services related to the floating regasification terminal's operation.
Full company description
Excelerate Energy, Inc. owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas infrastructure assets. The company operates floating regasification terminals. It also offers various terminal services, including providing the crew, and technical and other services related to the floating regasification terminal's operation. In addition, the company sells natural gas, LNG, power, and steam. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Excelerate Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Excelerate Energy Holdings, LLC.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Excelerate Energy, Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $889M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $39.2M in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.
EE screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Excelerate Energy (EE) Lifts Its Dividend, Is The Stock Fully Valued?
- Excelerate Energy Announces Quarterly Dividend Increase
- Excelerate Energy (EE) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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