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Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $4.4B

EE Excelerate Energy, Inc logo Excelerate Energy, Inc EE · US
Price$34.87
Fair Value$4.97
Upside-85.7%
Quality38/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
0.82% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.73 – $6.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −11.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$42.70 $13.28 Fair Value $4.97 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range $13.28 – $42.70 · fair‑value band $3.73 – $6.22 · the $34.87 price screens above the $4.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE) currently trades at $34.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.97, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Excelerate Energy, Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 37.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $889M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.73 (bear case) to $6.22 (bull case); at $34.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -86%, EE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $21.27 $32.42 $47.58 80
Residual Income $4.12 $4.19 $4.10 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.89 $15.44 $21.89 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.87 $33.43 $51.58 38
5Y Revenue Exit $9.89 $15.08 $21.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.51 $21.78 $31.13 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.82 $9.39 $11.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.57 $19.16 $26.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.05 $23.68 $33.27 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.90 $15.32 $19.01 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.09 $6.21 $8.22 54
Lynch FV $1.31 $1.87 $2.43 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.31 $1.87 $2.43 46
EPV $15.23 $18.28 $20.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5900 $1.17 $1.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5900 $0.9300 $1.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.23 $4.31 $5.39 63
P/S Multiple $3.92 $5.23 $6.54 58
P/B Multiple $3.92 $5.23 $6.54 55
EV/EBIT $13.62 $19.53 $25.43 53
EV/EBITDA $11.01 $16.04 $21.08 54
EV/Revenue $4.00 $7.47 $10.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.68 $3.59 $5.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.27 $32.42 $47.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.89 $15.44 $21.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.12 $4.19 $4.10 76
ROIC Compounder $16.44 $21.36 $26.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.76 $3.94 $5.13 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($19.16) versus Dividend Discount ($0.9300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.6%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow $298M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.8
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.19
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.3%
Net debt $889M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 14
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Excelerate Energy, Inc. owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas infrastructure assets. The company operates floating regasification terminals. It also offers various terminal services, including providing the crew, and technical and other services related to the floating regasification terminal's operation.

Full company description

Excelerate Energy, Inc. owns and operates liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas infrastructure assets. The company operates floating regasification terminals. It also offers various terminal services, including providing the crew, and technical and other services related to the floating regasification terminal's operation. In addition, the company sells natural gas, LNG, power, and steam. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Excelerate Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Excelerate Energy Holdings, LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Excelerate Energy, Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $889M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $39.2M in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+44.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−20.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+2.7%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 $889M
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $851M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income −1.2%/yr
FY21 $41.1M
FY22 $26.3M
FY23 $30.4M
FY24 $32.9M
FY25 $39.2M

EE screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Excelerate Energy, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Revenue growth 38% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.56× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.30× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 41
PAST 32 · sector 41
HEALTH 22 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.97 versus a price of $34.87, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EE?
Our model-based fair value for Excelerate Energy, Inc is $4.97 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $34.87.
What is the quality score of EE?
Excelerate Energy, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Excelerate Energy, Inc (EE)?
Excelerate Energy, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EE?
The net profit margin of Excelerate Energy, Inc is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Excelerate Energy, Inc pay a dividend?
Excelerate Energy, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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