Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 14, 2026: fair value of Emerald Expositions Events Inc $4.30, price $5.04, upside -14.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.38 – $6.71 · fair‑value band $2.48 – $6.01 · the $5.04 price screens above the $4.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Emerald Holding, Inc. operates as a business-to-business (B2B) event organizer in the United States. The company provides B2B trade shows, expos, and conferences; B2C showcases; and B2B digital media platforms and print publications, which provides industry-specific news, insights, education, and analysis across various sectors.
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Emerald Holding, Inc. operates as a business-to-business (B2B) event organizer in the United States. The company provides B2B trade shows, expos, and conferences; B2C showcases; and B2B digital media platforms and print publications, which provides industry-specific news, insights, education, and analysis across various sectors. It also offers B2B e-commerce and digital merchandising solutions to manufacturers and retailers through Elastic Suite platform. The company was formerly known as Emerald Expositions Events, Inc. and changed its name to Emerald Holding, Inc. in February 2020. Emerald Holding, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) currently trades at $5.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.30, 14.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $5.43 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the $5.04 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.7700, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.48 (bear) to $6.01 (bull), the price of $5.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Emerald Expositions Events Inc reported revenue of $463M in FY2025 versus $146M in FY2021, a compound +33.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$30.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B · P/S ratio 2.11 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1900 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 26.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −15%, EEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.48Fair Value $4.30Bull $6.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−71.0% (2020) → 16.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.7% a year for the price.
Compare Emerald Expositions Events Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 189 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−14.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−8.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.47× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
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Is Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.30 versus the last price from Jul 14, 2026 of $5.04, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EEX?
Our model-based fair value for Emerald Expositions Events Inc is $4.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 14, 2026): $5.04.
What is the quality score of EEX?
Emerald Expositions Events Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.48, optimistic scenario $6.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Emerald Expositions Events Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.30, about −15% upside versus the last price from Jul 14, 2026 of $5.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.48, optimistic scenario $6.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Emerald Expositions Events Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $471M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Emerald Expositions Events Inc pay a dividend?
Emerald Expositions Events Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Emerald Expositions Events Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +21.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EEX use?
Our models discount Emerald Expositions Events Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Emerald Expositions Events Inc that is +21.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Emerald Expositions Events Inc grew +29.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Emerald Expositions Events Inc (+21.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.13 %: that much free cash flow Emerald Expositions Events Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emerald Expositions Events Inc it is $4.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.04. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Emerald Expositions Events Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EEX trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.04, fair value $4.30, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.30). For Emerald Expositions Events Inc the two are $0.7400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Emerald Expositions Events Inc worth?
The market values Emerald Expositions Events Inc at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.04; our models calculate a fair value of $4.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EEX?
Our models span a range for Emerald Expositions Events Inc: cautious scenario $2.48, base $4.30, optimistic $6.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EEX?
The PEG ratio of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is 2.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Emerald Expositions Events Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 1.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EEX from its 52-week high?
Emerald Expositions Events Inc trades at $5.04, about 5% below its 52-week high of $5.33 and 51% above the low of $3.35 (as of Jul 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Emerald Expositions Events Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Emerald Expositions Events Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.04, calculated fair value $4.30 (−15%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EEX calculated?
We run Emerald Expositions Events Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Emerald Expositions Events Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 14, 2026 and stands at $5.04. Our model-based fair value is $4.30, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Emerald Expositions Events Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($2.48 to $6.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Emerald Expositions Events Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The market capitalisation of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is 2.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Earnings per share at Emerald Expositions Events Inc are $−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The dividend yield of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The net margin of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
The operating margin of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is 26.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Revenue at Emerald Expositions Events Inc is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)?
Earnings per share at Emerald Expositions Events Inc are growing −52.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX) carry?
The net debt of Emerald Expositions Events Inc is $505M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026