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Eagle Football Group SA (EFG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Eagle Football Group SA stock €1.18, price €1.58, that is 25.3% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Communication Services FR

EF Eagle Football Group SA logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Eagle Football Group SA

EFG · PA
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 8% below a year ago.
Fair value €1.18 · Overvalued
Quality 30/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −10.4 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -173.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€3.13 €1.47 Fair Value €1.18 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.47 – €3.13 · fair‑value band €0.8900 – €1.48 · the €1.58 price screens above the €1.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Eagle Football Group SA together with its subsidiaries, operates in the entertainment and media sector in France. The company manages Olympique Lyonnais football club and operates Groupama stadium.

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It also distributes and markets derivative products under the Olympique Lyonnais brand; and produces television programs for institutional, advertising, event, or documentary films.

In addition, the company is involved in ticketing, media and marketing rights, sponsoring, advertising, product branding, and player trading businesses. Further, it organizes various events, such as concerts, sporting events, B2B seminars, and corporate events.

The company was formerly known as Olympique Lyonnais Groupe SA and changed its name to Eagle Football Group Société anonyme in April 2024. Eagle Football Group SA was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Décines-Charpieu, France.

Eagle Football Group SA is a subsidiary of Eagle Football Holdings Bidco Limited.

Stock analysis

Eagle Football Group SA (EFG) currently trades at €1.58, while our estimate is €1.18, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: €0.8900 (bear) to €1.48 (bull), the price of €1.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Eagle Football Group SA reported revenue of €143M in FY2026 versus €160M in FY2022, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€87.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap €259M Micro · P/S ratio 1.73 · EPS (TTM) €−0.4600 · Net margin −60.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −235% · Revenue (TTM) €156M · Revenue growth (YoY) −8.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −25%, EFG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear €0.8900 Fair Value €1.18 Bull €1.48
Price €1.58 · Downside -25.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 9
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 71
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−81.0% (2021) → −61.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EFG screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

Compare Eagle Football Group SA with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −15.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −173.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −8.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.66× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Universal Music Group UMG €17.05 €18.88 +11% vs EFG
Netflix, Inc NFLX $63.95 $69.75 +9% vs EFG
Fox Corporation FOX $60.51 $65.92 +9% vs EFG
Formula One Group FWONK $108.01 $112.18 +4% vs EFG
The Walt Disney Company DIS $119.12 $101.07 −15% vs EFG
News Corporation NWS $29.33 $17.05 −42% vs EFG
Roku, Inc ROKU $160.52 $71.66 −55% vs EFG
TKO Group TKO $199.65 $69.66 −65% vs EFG
Warner Music Group WMG $31.79 $10.61 −67% vs EFG
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $176.64 $47.75 −73% vs EFG

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Eagle Football Group SA: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eagle Football Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EFG

Frequently asked questions

Is Eagle Football Group SA (EFG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is €1.18 versus the last price from Oct 29, 2026 of €1.58, about 25% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EFG?
Our estimate for Eagle Football Group SA is €1.18 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 29, 2026): €1.58.
What is the quality score of EFG?
Eagle Football Group SA has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of €1.18 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario €0.8900, optimistic scenario €1.48. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Eagle Football Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at €1.18, about 25% lower versus the last price from Oct 29, 2026 of €1.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.8900, optimistic scenario €1.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Eagle Football Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €156M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eagle Football Group SA it is €1.18 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of €1.58.
Is Eagle Football Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, EFG trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.58, fair value €1.18, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.18). For Eagle Football Group SA the two are €0.4000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eagle Football Group SA worth?
The market values Eagle Football Group SA at about €259M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is €1.58; our models calculate a fair value of €1.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EFG?
Our models span a range for Eagle Football Group SA: cautious scenario €0.8900, base €1.18, optimistic €1.48 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price €1.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EFG?
The PEG ratio of Eagle Football Group SA is 0.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eagle Football Group SA (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFG from its 52-week high?
Eagle Football Group SA trades at €1.58, about 28% below its 52-week high of €2.20 and 5% above the low of €1.50 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eagle Football Group SA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eagle Football Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price €1.58, calculated fair value €1.18 (−25%), Quality Score 30/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2% above its aggregate fair value. Eagle Football Group SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 29, 2026 and stands at €1.58. Our estimate is €1.18, about 25% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eagle Football Group SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Eagle Football Group SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
The market capitalisation of Eagle Football Group SA is €259M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eagle Football Group SA is 1.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Earnings per share at Eagle Football Group SA are €−0.4600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
The net margin of Eagle Football Group SA is −60.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eagle Football Group SA is −9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
The operating margin of Eagle Football Group SA is −235% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eagle Football Group SA (EFG)?
Revenue at Eagle Football Group SA is growing −8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Eagle Football Group SA (EFG) generate?
The free cash flow of Eagle Football Group SA is −€158M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Eagle Football Group SA (EFG) carry?
The net debt of Eagle Football Group SA is €481M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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