EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what EFOR CAY SANAYI is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Efor Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi produces and sells tea and tea-like substances in Turkey. Its products include bulk tea, teapot bag, cup bag tea, form fruit and herbal tea, O.P.A Ceylon tea, and out-of-home consumption tea products.
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Efor Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi produces and sells tea and tea-like substances in Turkey. Its products include bulk tea, teapot bag, cup bag tea, form fruit and herbal tea, O.P.A Ceylon tea, and out-of-home consumption tea products. Efor Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi was formerly known as Efor Cay Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi and changed its name to Efor Yatirim Sanayi Ticaret Anonim Sirketi in October 2025. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) currently trades at 20.06 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.17 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 380.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 17.67 TRY per share, and 4 of the 23 models we run sit above the 20.06 TRY price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 1.27 TRY, and 19 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
EFOR CAY SANAYI reported revenue of 12.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 300M TRY in FY2021, a compound +153.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2M TRY in FY2025, compounding −66.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 43.7B TRY (≈ $900M) · P/E ratio 917.5 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 TRY · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3% · Operating margin 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 288% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −79%, EFOR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4.17 TRYFair Value 4.17 TRYBull 4.17 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0141 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+164.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 293 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)917.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.4× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EFOR CAY SANAYI Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EFOR.IS
Frequently asked questions
Is EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.17 TRY versus a price of 20.06 TRY, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EFOR?
Our model-based fair value for EFOR CAY SANAYI is 4.17 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.06 TRY.
What is the quality score of EFOR?
EFOR CAY SANAYI has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.17 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EFOR CAY SANAYI stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.17 TRY, about −79% upside versus a price of 20.06 TRY (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
EFOR CAY SANAYI reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.5B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EFOR CAY SANAYI would have to grow free cash flow by +25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +153.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EFOR use?
Our models discount EFOR CAY SANAYI at 15.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EFOR CAY SANAYI that is +25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at EFOR CAY SANAYI grew +153.2 % a year. The price currently implies +25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EFOR CAY SANAYI (+25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.62 %: that much free cash flow EFOR CAY SANAYI produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EFOR CAY SANAYI it is 4.17 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 20.06 TRY. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EFOR CAY SANAYI stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EFOR trades above its calculated fair value: price 20.06 TRY, fair value 4.17 TRY, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFOR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.06 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.17 TRY). For EFOR CAY SANAYI the two are 15.89 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EFOR CAY SANAYI worth?
The market values EFOR CAY SANAYI at about 43.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 20.06 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 4.17 TRY per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Balance-sheet figures for EFOR CAY SANAYI (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFOR from its 52-week high?
EFOR CAY SANAYI trades at 20.06 TRY, about 40% below its 52-week high of 33.54 TRY and 288% above the low of 5.17 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.17 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EFOR CAY SANAYI?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EFOR CAY SANAYI stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 20.06 TRY, calculated fair value 4.17 TRY (−79%), Quality Score 50/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EFOR calculated?
We run EFOR CAY SANAYI through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.17 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. EFOR CAY SANAYI itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with EFOR CAY SANAYI right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.17 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of EFOR CAY SANAYI
How large is the market capitalisation of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The market capitalisation of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 43.7B TRY (≈ $900M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 917.5 (as of Aug 7, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 0.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Earnings per share at EFOR CAY SANAYI are 0.0200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 917.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The net margin of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
The operating margin of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Revenue at EFOR CAY SANAYI is growing +3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +164%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR)?
Earnings per share at EFOR CAY SANAYI are growing +60.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does EFOR CAY SANAYI (EFOR) carry?
The net debt of EFOR CAY SANAYI is 1.7B TRY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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