Electricity Generating Public Company (EGCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TH · Market cap 69.2B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 86.62 THB (bear) to 153.79 THB (bull), base 127.00 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 82.18 THB – 153.55 THB · fair‑value band 86.62 THB – 153.79 THB · the 132.00 THB price screens above the 127.00 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Electricity Generating Public Company (EGCO) currently trades at 132.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 127.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 3.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Electricity Generating Public Company generated revenue of 31.0B THB at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at 77.7B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 86.62 THB (bear case) to 153.79 THB (bull case); at 132.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -4%, EGCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (152.65 THB) versus DCF Models (73.13 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Electricity Generating Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity to government sector and industrial users primarily in Thailand, Laos, the Philippines, Indonesia, Australia, South Korea, Taiwan, and the United States. It operates through Electricity Generation and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
Electricity Generating Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity to government sector and industrial users primarily in Thailand, Laos, the Philippines, Indonesia, Australia, South Korea, Taiwan, and the United States. It operates through Electricity Generation and Other Businesses segments. The company generates electricity from various resources, such as biomass, hydropower, solar and wind power, battery energy, and fuel cell. It also involved in operation, maintenance, engineering and construction services to power plants, petrochemical plants, oil refineries and other industries; coal mining, management, and oil pipeline business. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Electricity Generating Public Company reported revenue of 32.1B THB in FY2025 versus 35.9B THB in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B THB in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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