Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 2,280, price TRY 4,480, that is 49.1% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,032 TRY – 17,268 TRY · fair‑value band 1,124 TRY – 4,046 TRY · the 4,480 TRY price screens above the 2,280 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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Ege Endüstri ve Ticaret A.S., together with its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures axles and suspension system components in Turkey and internationally.
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It offers fabricated and e-axle housings, air bellow beams, cast axles machining, and independent front suspension, as well as trailer, pusher, drive, front, and self steering and steerable tag axles. The company's products are used in commercial and special vehicle applications.
It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1964 and is based in Izmir, Turkey. Ege Endüstri ve Ticaret A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Bayraktar Holding A.S.
Stock analysis
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) currently trades at 4,480 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,280 TRY, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 4,671 TRY per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the 4,480 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 276.94 TRY, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,124 TRY (bear) to 4,046 TRY (bull), the price of 4,480 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 3.9B TRL in FY2023 versus 1.0B TRL in FY2019, a compound +40.5%/yr. Reported net income was 696M TRL in FY2023, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap 14.1B TRY (≈ $281M) Micro · P/E ratio 37.5 · P/S ratio 6.68 · EPS (TTM) 119.40 TRY · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 17.8% · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −49%, EGEEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,124 TRYFair Value 2,280 TRYBull4,046 TRY
Price 4,480 TRY · Downside -49.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+73.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+97.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.1%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 37%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−49.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets11.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−15.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGEEN
Frequently asked questions
Is Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,280 TRY versus a price of 4,480 TRY, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EGEEN?
Our model-based fair value for Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 2,280 TRY (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,480 TRY.
What is the quality score of EGEEN?
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,280 TRY (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,124 TRY, optimistic scenario 4,046 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,280 TRY, about 49% lower versus a price of 4,480 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,124 TRY, optimistic scenario 4,046 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of 3.03% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +46.1 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EGEEN use?
Our models discount Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS grew +46.1 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.40 %: that much free cash flow Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS it is 2,280 TRY per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of 4,480 TRY. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, EGEEN trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,480 TRY, fair value 2,280 TRY, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGEEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,480 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,280 TRY). For Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS the two are 2,200 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS at about 14.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is 4,480 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2,280 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGEEN?
Our models span a range for Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 1,124 TRY, base 2,280 TRY, optimistic 4,046 TRY per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price 4,480 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EGEEN?
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.5 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,280 TRY is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2014 to 2023), reported earnings: 21.4. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 38.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity −3.3%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGEEN from its 52-week high?
Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS trades at 4,480 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 8,250 TRY and 21% above the low of 3,705 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,280 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price 4,480 TRY, calculated fair value 2,280 TRY (−49%), Quality Score 49/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGEEN calculated?
We run Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,280 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 4,480 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2,280 TRY, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4,046 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (1,124 TRY to 4,046 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The market capitalisation of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 14.1B TRY (≈ $281M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 6.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Earnings per share at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS are 119.40 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The dividend yield of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 3.0% (payout 114%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The net margin of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 17.8% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 24.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
The operating margin of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Revenue at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is growing −15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +97.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN)?
Earnings per share at Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS are growing +9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS (EGEEN) carry?
The net debt of Ege Endustri ve Ticaret AS is 351M TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 1, 2026