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China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what China Evergrande Group is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US

CE China Evergrande Group logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

China Evergrande Group

EGRNF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0001 · Fairly valued (+0.0%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -27.0% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.72 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $1.72 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

China Evergrande Group, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the property development business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management Services, and Other Businesses segments.

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China Evergrande Group, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the property development business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management Services, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers property development, investment, and management services; and engages in new energy vehicle, cultural tourism, and health industry business. It also provides sale and manufacturing of smart mobility; and development and sale of health and living projects, as well as develops and operates real estate. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. China Evergrande Group operates as a subsidiary of Xin Xin (BVI) Limited.

Stock analysis

China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Evergrande Group reported revenue of 230B CNY in FY2022 versus 466B CNY in FY2018, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −106B CNY in FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $1.3M · EPS (TTM) $−0.8400 · Net margin −46.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −1.8% · Revenue (TTM) 269B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +43.6% · Free cash flow −23.8B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 0%, EGRNF screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.3% (2018) → −28.0% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2022 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 576 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 0.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −27.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 43.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.19× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)33 · sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.00 HK$71.49 +55%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹683.00 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.56 ¥5.87 +6%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 HK$19.39 HK$8.31 −57%
CTP N.V CTPNV €12.90 €10.46 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Evergrande Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGRNF

Frequently asked questions

Is China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EGRNF?
Our model-based fair value for China Evergrande Group is $0.0001 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0001.
What is the quality score of EGRNF?
China Evergrande Group has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0001 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Evergrande Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0001, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.0001 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
China Evergrande Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 269B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Evergrande Group it is $0.0001 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0001. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Evergrande Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EGRNF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0001, fair value $0.0001, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGRNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0001); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0001). For China Evergrande Group the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Evergrande Group worth?
The market values China Evergrande Group at about $1.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0001; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0001 per share.
What is the PEG ratio of EGRNF?
The PEG ratio of China Evergrande Group is 0.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Evergrande Group (as of Sep 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGRNF from its 52-week high?
China Evergrande Group trades at $0.0001, at its 52-week high of $0.0001 and at the low of $0.0001 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0001 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Evergrande Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Evergrande Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0001, calculated fair value $0.0001 (+0%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGRNF calculated?
We run China Evergrande Group through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0001, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Evergrande Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0001. Our model-based fair value is $0.0001, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Evergrande Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of China Evergrande Group

How large is the market capitalisation of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
The market capitalisation of China Evergrande Group is $1.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
Earnings per share at China Evergrande Group are $−0.8400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
The net margin of China Evergrande Group is −46.0% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Evergrande Group is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
The operating margin of China Evergrande Group is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Evergrande Group (EGRNF)?
Revenue at China Evergrande Group is growing +43.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) generate?
The free cash flow of China Evergrande Group is −23.8B CNY (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) carry?
The net debt of China Evergrande Group is 609B CNY (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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