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Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Vaalco Energy Inc stock $6.14, price $5.38, upside +14.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy US

VE Vaalco Energy Inc logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Vaalco Energy Inc

EGY · US
Speculative

The stock costs 12% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $6.14 · Undervalued (12%)
Low debt
Revenue last quarter +40% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +35.9 %/yr in USD)
4.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Some data
Quality 37/100
Loss-making · -31.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 28/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$6.91 $1.70 Fair Value $6.14 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.70 – $6.91 · fair‑value band $5.32 – $6.82 · the $5.38 price screens below the $6.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

VAALCO Energy, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Gabon, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Cote d'Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, and Canada.

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It holds 58.8% interest in the Etame production sharing contract related to the Etame Marin block covering an area of approximately 46,200 gross acres located offshore in the Republic of Gabon in West Africa.

The company also holds 100% interest in the Eastern Desert, which contains West Gharib, West Bakr, and Northwest Gharib merged concessions covering an area of approximately 45,067 acres, as well as Western Desert, which contains the South Ghazalat concession covering an area of approximately 7,340 acres located in Egypt.

In addition, it holds 27.4% non-operated working interest in CI-40 in the deepwater producing Baobab field in Block CI-40, offshore Cote d'Ivoire in West Africa.

Further, the company owns production and working interests in Cardium light oil and Mannville liquids-rich gas assets in Harmattan, within the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, approximately 80 kilometers north of Calgary, Alberta; and a 60% working interest in an undeveloped portion of block P offshore Equatorial Guinea.

VAALCO Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) currently trades at $5.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.14, implying the stock looks roughly 12% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.77 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $5.38 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.82, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.32 (bear) to $6.82 (bull), the price of $5.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Vaalco Energy Inc reported revenue of $359M in FY2025 versus $199M in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $563M Small · P/S ratio 1.62 · EPS (TTM) $−1.04 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin −31.1% · Return on equity −24.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 47.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 14%, EGY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.32 Fair Value $6.14 Bull $6.82
Price $5.38 · Upside +14.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $2.66 $3.07 $3.41 74
ROIC Compounder $2.66 $3.07 $3.41 72
EV/EBITDA $6.04 $8.27 $10.50 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.66 $3.07 $3.41 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $2.66 $3.77 $4.88 65
EV/EBITDA $6.04 $8.27 $10.50 67
EV/Revenue $2.21 $3.44 $4.67 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.11 $2.82 $4.22 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.66 $3.07 $3.41 72

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 63
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 76
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 21 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.2% (2020) → 13.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside +14.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −31.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 47.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 39.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.61× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.98× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)52 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)93 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.96 $242.64 +36% vs EGY
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.48 HK$26.76 +14% vs EGY
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $147.13 $166.94 +13% vs EGY
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.55 $53.41 +10% vs EGY
EQT Corporation EQT $49.40 $54.34 +10% vs EGY
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $42.21 $39.47 −7% vs EGY
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.04 $19.39 −8% vs EGY
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $136.27 $92.89 −32% vs EGY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.38 $33.18 −41% vs EGY
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 316.80 kr 127.39 −60% vs EGY

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Vaalco Energy Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vaalco Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGY

Frequently asked questions

Is Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.14 versus a price of $5.38, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EGY?
Our model-based fair value for Vaalco Energy Inc is $6.14 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.38.
What is the quality score of EGY?
Vaalco Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.14 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.32, optimistic scenario $6.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vaalco Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.14, about +14% upside versus a price of $5.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.32, optimistic scenario $6.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Vaalco Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $350M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Vaalco Energy Inc pay a dividend?
Vaalco Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 4.65% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Vaalco Energy Inc pays a dividend of $0.25 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2022. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vaalco Energy Inc it is $6.14 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $5.38. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Vaalco Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, EGY trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.38, fair value $6.14, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.14). For Vaalco Energy Inc the two are $0.7600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vaalco Energy Inc worth?
The market values Vaalco Energy Inc at about $563M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $5.38; our models calculate a fair value of $6.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGY?
Our models span a range for Vaalco Energy Inc: cautious scenario $5.32, base $6.14, optimistic $6.82 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $5.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EGY?
The PEG ratio of Vaalco Energy Inc is 3.98 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vaalco Energy Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −24.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGY from its 52-week high?
Vaalco Energy Inc trades at $5.38, about 18% below its 52-week high of $6.56 and 65% above the low of $3.26 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vaalco Energy Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vaalco Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $5.38, calculated fair value $6.14 (+14%), Quality Score 37/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGY calculated?
We run Vaalco Energy Inc through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.14 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Vaalco Energy Inc currently trades 12% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.38. Our model-based fair value is $6.14, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vaalco Energy Inc right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Vaalco Energy Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The market capitalisation of Vaalco Energy Inc is $563M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vaalco Energy Inc is 1.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Earnings per share at Vaalco Energy Inc are $−1.04. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The dividend yield of Vaalco Energy Inc is 4.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The net margin of Vaalco Energy Inc is −31.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vaalco Energy Inc is −24.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vaalco Energy Inc is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
The operating margin of Vaalco Energy Inc is 47.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Revenue at Vaalco Energy Inc is growing +39.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY)?
Earnings per share at Vaalco Energy Inc are growing +390% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) generate?
The free cash flow of Vaalco Energy Inc is −$43.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vaalco Energy Inc (EGY) carry?
The net debt of Vaalco Energy Inc is $69.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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