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The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of The Star Entertainment Group $0.10, price $0.09, upside +14.9%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN AU000000SGR6

TS The Star Entertainment Group logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

The Star Entertainment Group

EHGRF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.1000 · Undervalued (+14.9%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.03 $0.0400 Fair Value $0.1000 Jun 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0400 – $3.03 · fair‑value band $0.0800 – $0.1100 · the $0.0870 price screens below the $0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

The Star Entertainment Group Limited operates and manages integrated resorts in Australia. It operates through three segments: Sydney, Gold Coast, Treasury Brisbane, and The Star Brisbane. The company owns and operates The Star Sydney and The Star Gold Coast, which include hotels, restaurants, bars, theatres, and other entertainment facilities.

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The Star Entertainment Group Limited operates and manages integrated resorts in Australia. It operates through three segments: Sydney, Gold Coast, Treasury Brisbane, and The Star Brisbane. The company owns and operates The Star Sydney and The Star Gold Coast, which include hotels, restaurants, bars, theatres, and other entertainment facilities. It also manages the Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre, as well as operates the Star Grand hotel. The company was formerly known as Echo Entertainment Group Limited and changed its name to The Star Entertainment Group Limited in November 2015. The Star Entertainment Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF) currently trades at $0.0870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.2100 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the $0.0870 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0800 (bear) to $0.1100 (bull), the price of $0.0870 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

The Star Entertainment Group reported revenue of A$1.4B in FY2025 versus A$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$472M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $730M · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Net margin −34.6% · Return on equity −42.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.2% · Operating margin −7.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 15%, EHGRF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0800 Fair Value $0.1000 Bull $0.1100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $0.0800 $0.0900 $0.1000 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0800 $0.0900 $0.1000 72
EV/EBITDA $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.4500 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0800 $0.0900 $0.1000 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.2600 66
EV/EBITDA $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.4500 67
EV/Revenue $0.1100 $0.1500 $0.2000 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0800 $0.0900 $0.1000 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 1/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.9% (2015) → 7.6% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Values & ESG

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Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $38.78 $55.26 +42%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$31.70 HK$46.74 +47%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$11.91 HK$18.87 +58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $81.12 $147.69 +82%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $30.47 $18.04 −41%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.59 $80.89 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6150 SGD 0.5600 SGD −9%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $50.76 $31.15 −39%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $71.23 $130.75 +84%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $136.11 $152.57 +12%

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$0.1000 +13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Star Entertainment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EHGRF

Frequently asked questions

Is The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1000 versus a price of $0.0870, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EHGRF?
Our model-based fair value for The Star Entertainment Group is $0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0870.
What is the quality score of EHGRF?
The Star Entertainment Group has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Star Entertainment Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1000, about +15% upside versus a price of $0.0870 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The Star Entertainment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Star Entertainment Group it is $0.1000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0870. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Star Entertainment Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EHGRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0870, fair value $0.1000, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EHGRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0870); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1000). For The Star Entertainment Group the two are $0.0130 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Star Entertainment Group worth?
The market values The Star Entertainment Group at about $730M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0870; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EHGRF?
Our models span a range for The Star Entertainment Group: cautious scenario $0.0800, base $0.1000, optimistic $0.1100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0870). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is EHGRF from its 52-week high?
The Star Entertainment Group trades at $0.0870, about 39% below its 52-week high of $0.1437 and 118% above the low of $0.0400 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Star Entertainment Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Star Entertainment Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0870, calculated fair value $0.1000 (+15%), Quality Score 27/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EHGRF calculated?
We run The Star Entertainment Group through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. The Star Entertainment Group currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0870. Our model-based fair value is $0.1000, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Star Entertainment Group right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of The Star Entertainment Group

How large is the market capitalisation of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The market capitalisation of The Star Entertainment Group is $730M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Star Entertainment Group is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
Earnings per share at The Star Entertainment Group are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The net margin of The Star Entertainment Group is −34.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Star Entertainment Group is −42.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Star Entertainment Group is 23.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
The operating margin of The Star Entertainment Group is −7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
Revenue at The Star Entertainment Group is growing −4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF)?
Earnings per share at The Star Entertainment Group are growing −34.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF) generate?
The free cash flow of The Star Entertainment Group is −A$213M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Star Entertainment Group (EHGRF) carry?
The net debt of The Star Entertainment Group is A$331M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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