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Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Electra Real Estate Ltd ILS 3.06, price ILS 16.97, upside -82.0%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · Il · ISIN IL0010940448

ER Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Electra Real Estate Ltd

ELCRE · TA

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.06 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−82.0%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.4 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/10)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 25 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

67.63 ILA 15.47 ILA Fair Value 3.06 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.47 ILA – 67.63 ILA · fair‑value band 1.81 ILA – 3.06 ILA · the 16.97 ILA price screens above the 3.06 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Electra Real Estate Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the establishment, operation, and management of private equity funds for the investment in income-yielding commercial properties in Israel and the United States.

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Electra Real Estate Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the establishment, operation, and management of private equity funds for the investment in income-yielding commercial properties in Israel and the United States. The company owns and operates multifamily communities in Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona, and Texas. It also acquires, develops, and repositions newly built, single-family rental housings, and boutique urban hotel assets. In addition, the company provides short-term capital services, including bridge loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity investment, and participating preferred equity investment to middle-market real estate firms; and advisory services for real estate transactions and operations comprising acquisitions, underwriting, structuring, closing, and property management. Further, the company involved in repositioning, repurposing, and revitalizing real estate assets. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. Electra Real Estate Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Elco Ltd.

Stock analysis

Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) currently trades at 16.97 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.06 ILA, 82.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 8.52 ILA per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 16.97 ILA price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.29 ILA, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.81 ILA (bear) to 3.06 ILA (bull), the price of 16.97 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Electra Real Estate Ltd reported revenue of $19.1M in FY2025 versus $524M in FY2021, a compound −56.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.8B ILA · EPS (TTM) −2.24 ILA · Dividend yield 0.2% · Return on equity −16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% · Operating margin 17.4% · Revenue (TTM) −740K ILA · Revenue growth (YoY) −94.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −82%, ELCRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.81 ILA Fair Value 3.06 ILA Bull 3.06 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a n/a 5.23 ILA 77
Growth DCF n/a n/a 4.19 ILA 75
Gordon GGM 2.00 ILA 3.60 ILA 4.96 ILA 68
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a n/a 5.23 ILA 77
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.00 ILA 3.60 ILA 4.96 ILA 68
DDM Multi-Stage 2.00 ILA 3.29 ILA 3.85 ILA 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.36 ILA 8.52 ILA 12.72 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a n/a 4.19 ILA 75

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−55.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.7% (2015) → 33.4% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+67.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +63.7% a year for the price.

ELCRE screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with CBRE Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 540 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −94.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.51× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.49× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 258.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)25 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.17 €36.55 +113%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $321.91 $540.65 +68%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.09 $6.19 −78%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.60 SGD 0.5600 SGD −78%

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Electra Real Estate Ltd · Fair Value
3.06 ILA −82%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Electra Real Estate Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELCRE

Frequently asked questions

Is Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.06 ILA versus a price of 16.97 ILA, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELCRE?
Our model-based fair value for Electra Real Estate Ltd is 3.06 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.97 ILA.
What is the quality score of ELCRE?
Electra Real Estate Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.06 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.81 ILA, optimistic scenario 3.06 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Electra Real Estate Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.06 ILA, about −82% upside versus a price of 16.97 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.81 ILA, optimistic scenario 3.06 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Electra Real Estate Ltd pay a dividend?
Electra Real Estate Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Electra Real Estate Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +67.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -30.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ELCRE use?
Our models discount Electra Real Estate Ltd at 12.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Electra Real Estate Ltd that is +67.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Electra Real Estate Ltd grew -30.4 % a year. The price currently implies +67.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Electra Real Estate Ltd (+67.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.00 %: that much free cash flow Electra Real Estate Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Electra Real Estate Ltd it is 3.06 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 16.97 ILA. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Electra Real Estate Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ELCRE trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.97 ILA, fair value 3.06 ILA, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELCRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.97 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.06 ILA). For Electra Real Estate Ltd the two are 13.91 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Electra Real Estate Ltd worth?
The market values Electra Real Estate Ltd at about 2.8B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 16.97 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 3.06 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELCRE?
Our models span a range for Electra Real Estate Ltd: cautious scenario 1.81 ILA, base 3.06 ILA, optimistic 3.06 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 16.97 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Electra Real Estate Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −16.8%, debt of 1.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELCRE from its 52-week high?
Electra Real Estate Ltd trades at 16.97 ILA, about 74% below its 52-week high of 64.40 ILA and 10% above the low of 15.47 ILA (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.06 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Electra Real Estate Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Electra Real Estate Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 16.97 ILA, calculated fair value 3.06 ILA (−82%), Quality Score 37/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELCRE calculated?
We run Electra Real Estate Ltd through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.06 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Electra Real Estate Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 16.97 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 3.06 ILA, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Electra Real Estate Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.06 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Electra Real Estate Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The market capitalisation of Electra Real Estate Ltd is 2.8B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Earnings per share at Electra Real Estate Ltd are −2.24 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The dividend yield of Electra Real Estate Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Electra Real Estate Ltd is −16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Electra Real Estate Ltd is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
The operating margin of Electra Real Estate Ltd is 17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) generate?
Electra Real Estate Ltd generates revenue of −740K ILA (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Revenue at Electra Real Estate Ltd is growing −94.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −55.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE)?
Earnings per share at Electra Real Estate Ltd are growing −92.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Electra Real Estate Ltd (ELCRE) carry?
The net debt of Electra Real Estate Ltd is $433M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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