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e.l.f. Beauty, Inc (ELF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.1B

Price$63.49
Fair Value$19.29
Upside-69.6%
Quality97/100
Evidence: High Range $14.47 – $26.77

Analysis

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc (ELF) currently trades at $63.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.29 — implying the stock looks roughly 69.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 97/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., a beauty company, provides cosmetics and skin care products worldwide. The company offers eye, lip, face, and skin care products. It offers products under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Rhode brand names. The company sells its products through national and international retailers and direct-to-consumer through its e-commerce channel. The company was formerly known as J.A. Cosmetics Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. in April 2016. e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.