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Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Elgi Rubber Company Limited stock ₹8.27, price ₹49.16, upside -83.2%, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical IN · ISIN INE819L01012

ER Elgi Rubber Company Limited logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Elgi Rubber Company Limited

ELGIRUBCO · NSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 18% below a year ago.
Fair value ₹8.27 · Strongly overvalued (−83.2%)
Quality 30/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr in INR)
Loss-making · -56.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹146.84 ₹27.50 Fair Value ₹8.27 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹27.50 – ₹146.84 · fair‑value band ₹6.17 – ₹12.35 · the ₹49.16 price screens above the ₹8.27 fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Elgi Rubber Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells reclaimed rubber, retreading machinery, and retread rubber in India and internationally.

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It offers tire retread and repair systems under the Jet brand name; expandable rims and hubs under the CRS brand; retreat process equipment under the Armonas brand name; and rasp blades and hubs under the Pincott brand name.

The company also provides brazed carbide tools under the Carbrasive brand name; gums, adhesives, and sealants under the Midwest Rubber brand name; tire and tube repair products under the Westernweld name; reclaimed rubber under the Rubber Resources brand name; and retreading consumables under the Kooltread brand.

The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Coimbatore, India.

Stock analysis

Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO) currently trades at ₹49.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.27, 83.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ₹6.17 (bear) to ₹12.35 (bull), the price of ₹49.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Elgi Rubber Company Limited reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2026 versus ₹3.9B in FY2022, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −₹2.4B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹2.5B (≈ $25.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) ₹−39.54 · Net margin −56.4% · Return on equity −189% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin −1.2% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.5B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −83%, ELGIRUBCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹6.17 Fair Value ₹8.27 Bull ₹12.35
Price ₹49.16 · Upside -83.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ₹6.17 ₹8.27 ₹12.35 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹6.17 ₹8.27 ₹12.35 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 9
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 22
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.3% (2021) → −57.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ELGIRUBCO screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 658 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −55.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −56.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −18.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.21× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.25× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.70× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)39 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elgi Rubber Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELGIRUBCO

Frequently asked questions

Is Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹8.27 versus a price of ₹49.16, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELGIRUBCO?
Our model-based fair value for Elgi Rubber Company Limited is ₹8.27 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹49.16.
What is the quality score of ELGIRUBCO?
Elgi Rubber Company Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹8.27 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹6.17, optimistic scenario ₹12.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Elgi Rubber Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹8.27, about −83% upside versus a price of ₹49.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹6.17, optimistic scenario ₹12.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Elgi Rubber Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Elgi Rubber Company Limited it is ₹8.27 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ₹49.16. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Elgi Rubber Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, ELGIRUBCO trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹49.16, fair value ₹8.27, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELGIRUBCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹49.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹8.27). For Elgi Rubber Company Limited the two are ₹40.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Elgi Rubber Company Limited worth?
The market values Elgi Rubber Company Limited at about ₹2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ₹49.16; our models calculate a fair value of ₹8.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELGIRUBCO?
Our models span a range for Elgi Rubber Company Limited: cautious scenario ₹6.17, base ₹8.27, optimistic ₹12.35 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ₹49.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Elgi Rubber Company Limited (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −188.6%, debt of 1.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELGIRUBCO from its 52-week high?
Elgi Rubber Company Limited trades at ₹49.16, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹68.61 and 47% above the low of ₹33.51 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹8.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Elgi Rubber Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Elgi Rubber Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ₹49.16, calculated fair value ₹8.27 (−83%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELGIRUBCO calculated?
We run Elgi Rubber Company Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹8.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Elgi Rubber Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ₹49.16. Our model-based fair value is ₹8.27, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Elgi Rubber Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹12.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹6.17 to ₹12.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Elgi Rubber Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The market capitalisation of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is ₹2.5B (≈ $25.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is 0.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Earnings per share at Elgi Rubber Company Limited are ₹−39.54. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The net margin of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is −56.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is −189% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
The operating margin of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Revenue at Elgi Rubber Company Limited is growing −18.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO)?
Earnings per share at Elgi Rubber Company Limited are growing +301% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is −₹470M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Elgi Rubber Company Limited (ELGIRUBCO) carry?
The net debt of Elgi Rubber Company Limited is ₹2.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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