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Elkem ASA (ELK) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · NO · Market cap 11.5B NOK

EA Elkem ASA ELK · OL
Pricekr 33.86
Fair Valuekr 52.04
Upside+53.7%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -5.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 26.82 – kr 77.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 26.02 to kr 52.04 (+100.0%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 26.82 to kr 77.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 34.46 kr 16.18 Fair Value kr 52.04 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 16.18 – kr 34.46 · fair‑value band kr 26.82 – kr 77.28 · the kr 33.86 price screens below the kr 52.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Elkem ASA (ELK) currently trades at kr 33.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 52.04, implying the stock looks roughly 53.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Elkem ASA generated revenue of 16.3B NOK at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 8.9B NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 26.82 (bear case) to kr 77.28 (bull case); at kr 33.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at 54%, ELK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (kr 1.79 to kr 93.41). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder kr 1.79 kr 4.29 72
Gordon GGM kr 4.81 kr 5.27 kr 5.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 4.81 kr 6.04 kr 7.75 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV kr 1.79 kr 4.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 4.81 kr 5.27 kr 5.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 4.81 kr 6.04 kr 7.75 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 19.61 kr 32.23 kr 44.85 53
EV/EBITDA kr 65.50 kr 93.41 kr 121.33 54
EV/Revenue kr 14.57 kr 28.63 kr 42.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 32.99 kr 44.21 kr 65.98 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder kr 1.79 kr 4.29 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 44.21) versus Earnings-Based (kr 1.79). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.1B NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net margin -5.5%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow −1.1B NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 70.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.4800
EPS growth (YoY) -68.5%
Net debt 8.9B NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elkem ASA engages in the provision of advanced material solutions worldwide. It operates through Silicones, Silicon Products, and Carbon Solutions segments.

Full company description

Elkem ASA engages in the provision of advanced material solutions worldwide. It operates through Silicones, Silicon Products, and Carbon Solutions segments. The company offers silicones polymers, including silicone oils, compounds, emulsions, grease, and resins, as well as chlorosilanes, heat cured rubber silicone, lower carbon and circular silicone materials, elastomer gels, liquid silicone rubber, and RTV-1 and RTV-2 silicones. It also provides silicon-based materials comprising silicon, silicon powder/micronized silicon, silica fume/ micro-silica, ferrosilicon, grain refiners, and specialties for technical ceramics. In addition, the company offers foundry alloys, such as preconditioners, recarburizers, conditioners, nodularizers, inserts, and inoculants; and carbon-based materials comprising carbon electrodes, synthetic graphite, furnace tapping materials, electrode paste, ramming paste, prebaked electrodes, and furnace lining materials, as well as polymer additives, boron carbide, and oilfield and refractories specialty products. It offers its products to electronics, aerospace, healthcare, personal care, packaging, airbag coating, chemicals, aluminium, electronics, automotive, specialty steel, solar, construction, refractories, oil and gas, military equipment, ferroalloys, silicon, and aluminium industries. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Oslo, Norway. Elkem ASA operates as a subsidiary of Bluestar Elkem International Co., Ltd. S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elkem ASA reported revenue of kr 16.5B in FY2025 versus kr 33.1B in FY2021, a compound −15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 668M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.5B NOK
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−28.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Revenue −15.9%/yr
FY21 kr 33.1B
FY22 kr 45.0B
FY23 kr 21.1B
FY24 kr 17.8B
FY25 kr 16.5B
Net income
FY21 kr 4.6B
FY22 kr 9.6B
FY23 kr 73.0M
FY24 kr 487M
FY25 −kr 668M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elkem ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELK

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 671 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +54% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 70.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 8 · sector 23
HEALTH 81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elkem ASA (ELK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 52.04 versus a price of kr 33.86, about +54% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ELK?
Our model-based fair value for Elkem ASA is kr 52.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 33.86.
What is the quality score of ELK?
Elkem ASA has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elkem ASA (ELK)?
Elkem ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.3B NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELK?
The net profit margin of Elkem ASA is about -2.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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