Ellaktor S.A (ELLAKTOR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GR · Market cap €472M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from €5.69 to €3.92 (−31.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 194% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5772 – €1.80 · fair‑value band €2.94 – €4.91 · the €1.33 price screens below the €3.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Ellaktor S.A (ELLAKTOR) currently trades at €1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.92, implying the stock looks roughly 194.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €18.6M. Revenue declined 84.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. Net debt stands at €298M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.94 (bear case) to €4.91 (bull case); at €1.33, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 194%, ELLAKTOR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€7.17) versus Asset-Based (€0.8500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ellaktor S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the construction and quarrying, wind energy, concession, environment, and real estate development businesses in Greece, other European countries, Gulf countries, the Americas, and Australia.
Full company description
Ellaktor S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the construction and quarrying, wind energy, concession, environment, and real estate development businesses in Greece, other European countries, Gulf countries, the Americas, and Australia. The company operates through five segments: Construction, Concessions, Renewable Energy Sources (RES), Environment, and Real estate Development. It constructs bridges, motorways, metro projects, biological treatment plants, natural gas pipelines, refineries, shopping centers, casinos, tourist and hotel units, cultural centers, hospitals, airports, Olympic and athletic complexes, railway projects, tunnels, dams, port projects, energy production stations, electromechanical projects, etc.; and logistics, office, residential, industrial, and educational buildings. The company is also involved in the waste management and energy production, which include design, construction, and operation of waste treatment plant, as well as offers alternative fuel production and biomass exploitation projects. In addition, it develops, constructs, and operates wind farms; provides real estate development and services, which consists of retail parks, entertainment centers, residential complexes, exhibition centers, and offices and mixed use buildings, as well as offers consultancy and services to third parties. The company was formerly known as ELLINIKI TECHNODOMIKI TEB SA and changed its name to Ellaktor S.A. in 2008. The company is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ellaktor S.A reported revenue of €18.6M in FY2025 versus €915M in FY2021, a compound −62.2%/yr. Reported net income was €156M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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