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Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Empery Digital Inc. stock $1.24, price $2.01, that is 38.3% below the price, quality 15 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

ED Empery Digital Inc. logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Empery Digital Inc.

EMPD · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 38% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter 50% below a year ago.
Fair value $1.24 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 15/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −40.1 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1,000,000 $2.00 Fair Value $1.24 Oct 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.9300 – $1.55 · the $2.01 price screens above the $1.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Empery Digital Inc. engages in digital asset treasury business in the United States. The company was formerly known as Volcon, Inc. and changed its name to Empery Digital Inc. in July 2025. Empery Digital Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Round Rock, Texas.

Stock analysis

Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) currently trades at $2.01, while our estimate is $1.24, 38% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $0.9300 (bear) to $1.55 (bull), the price of $2.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Empery Digital Inc. reported revenue of $975K in FY2025 versus $449K in FY2021, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$150M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $56.4M Micro · EPS (TTM) $−8.27 · Return on equity −74.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −197% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5,640% · Revenue (TTM) $529K · Revenue growth (YoY) −49.8% · Free cash flow −$18.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 48% fair-value upside, at −38%, EMPD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $0.9300 Fair Value $1.24 Bull $1.55
Price $2.01 · Downside -38.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 15/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 47
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 6
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • SaleTice Brown10% owner2× since Oct 30, 2026: 16,143 shares, avg. $2.74$44,193Nov 4, 2026
  • BuyEmpery Asset Management, LP10% owner2× since Aug 12, 2026: 1,900,000 shares, avg. $3.09$5.9MSep 1, 2026
  • BuyGabriel Gliksberg10% owner691,145 shares at $4.68$3.2MFeb 3, 2026
  • BuyATG Capital Opportunities Fund LP10% owner2× since Jan 28, 2026: 1,119,771 shares, avg. $4.78$5.3MFeb 3, 2026
  • BuyATG Capital Management GP LLC10% owner428,626 shares at $4.94$2.1MJan 30, 2026

Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−75.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8,729.5% (2021) → −3,161.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EMPD screens overvalued: fair value 38% below the price. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Recreational Vehicles · 33 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 15 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −40.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −49.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Trigano S.A TRI €135.90 €274.15 +102% vs EMPD
Polaris Inc PII $66.62 $127.85 +92% vs EMPD
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $34.22 $65.04 +90% vs EMPD
LCI Industries, LCII $97.98 $167.42 +71% vs EMPD
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥314.22 ¥465.45 +48% vs EMPD
BRP Inc DOO $65.99 $73.16 +11% vs EMPD
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $79.70 $88.30 +11% vs EMPD
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €37.24 €36.35 −2% vs EMPD
THOR Industries, Inc THO $79.52 $64.20 −19% vs EMPD
Brunswick Corporation BC $78.42 $59.39 −24% vs EMPD

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Empery Digital Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Empery Digital Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMPD

Frequently asked questions

Is Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $1.24 versus a price of $2.01, about 38% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMPD?
Our estimate for Empery Digital Inc. is $1.24 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.01.
What is the quality score of EMPD?
Empery Digital Inc. has a Quality Score of 15/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $1.24 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.55. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Empery Digital Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $1.24, about 38% lower versus a price of $2.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9300, optimistic scenario $1.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Empery Digital Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $529K (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Empery Digital Inc. it is $1.24 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of $2.01.
Is Empery Digital Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, EMPD trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.01, fair value $1.24, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMPD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.24). For Empery Digital Inc. the two are $0.7700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Empery Digital Inc. worth?
The market values Empery Digital Inc. at about $56.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is $2.01; our models calculate a fair value of $1.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMPD?
Our models span a range for Empery Digital Inc.: cautious scenario $0.9300, base $1.24, optimistic $1.55 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price $2.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Empery Digital Inc. (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −74.0%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 15/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMPD from its 52-week high?
Empery Digital Inc. trades at $2.01, about 69% below its 52-week high of $6.53 and at the low of $2.00 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Empery Digital Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co, Brunswick Corporation, BRP Inc, THOR Industries, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Empery Digital Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price $2.01, calculated fair value $1.24 (−38%), Quality Score 15/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Empery Digital Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $2.01. Our estimate is $1.24, about 38% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Empery Digital Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (15/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Empery Digital Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
The market capitalisation of Empery Digital Inc. is $56.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Earnings per share at Empery Digital Inc. are $−8.27. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Empery Digital Inc. is −74.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Empery Digital Inc. is −197% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
The operating margin of Empery Digital Inc. is −5,640% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)?
Revenue at Empery Digital Inc. is growing −49.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −40.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) generate?
The free cash flow of Empery Digital Inc. is −$18.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) carry?
The net debt of Empery Digital Inc. is $91.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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