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Eneva S.A (ENEV3) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$49.1B

ES Eneva S.A ENEV3 · SA
PriceR$26.60
Fair ValueR$9.26
Upside-65.2%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range R$6.94 – R$11.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$11.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$27.59 R$9.55 Fair Value R$9.26 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$9.55 – R$27.59 · fair‑value band R$6.94 – R$11.57 · the R$26.60 price screens above the R$9.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Eneva S.A (ENEV3) currently trades at R$26.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$9.26, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Eneva S.A generated revenue of R$18.7B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at R$21.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$6.94 (bear case) to R$11.57 (bull case); at R$26.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -65%, ENEV3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$8.12 R$8.32 R$8.35 76
ROIC Compounder R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 72
Gordon GGM R$1.12 R$2.33 R$3.70 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$4.11 R$28.70 R$40.27 54
Lynch FV R$14.83 R$21.18 R$27.53 50
PEG = 1.0 R$14.83 R$21.18 R$27.53 46
EPV R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$1.12 R$2.33 R$3.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$1.12 R$1.97 R$2.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$9.08 R$12.10 R$15.13 63
P/S Multiple R$7.72 R$10.29 R$12.86 58
P/B Multiple R$7.72 R$10.29 R$12.86 55
EV/EBIT R$15.79 R$23.91 R$32.03 53
EV/EBITDA R$23.26 R$33.87 R$44.48 54
EV/Revenue R$7.84 R$14.88 R$21.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.18 R$6.94 R$10.36 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$8.12 R$8.32 R$8.35 76
ROIC Compounder R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$19.10 R$27.29 R$35.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$27.29) versus Dividend Discount (R$1.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$18.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net margin 6.9%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow −R$2.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 42.8
More key figures
Operating margin 24.1%
EPS (TTM) R$0.6000
EPS growth (YoY) +35.8%
Net debt R$21.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eneva S.A., an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration, production, and commercialization of natural gas and liquids in Brazil. The company generates electricity through natural gas, steam, coal, and solar energy.

Full company description

Eneva S.A., an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration, production, and commercialization of natural gas and liquids in Brazil. The company generates electricity through natural gas, steam, coal, and solar energy. It also supplies natural gas solutions to the on-grid and off-grid market for thermal power plants, pipeline operators, and industrial clients; including transportation, LNG regasification, and floating storage. The company was formerly known as MPX Energia S.A. and changed its name to Eneva S.A. in October 2013. Eneva S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eneva S.A reported revenue of R$18.4B in FY2025 versus R$5.1B in FY2021, a compound +37.7%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.2B in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$18.4B
Latest YoY
+61.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+44.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+41.5%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+57.6%
Revenue +37.7%/yr
FY21 R$5.1B
FY22 R$6.1B
FY23 R$10.1B
FY24 R$11.4B
FY25 R$18.4B
Net income −0.3%/yr
FY21 R$1.2B
FY22 R$376M
FY23 R$218M
FY24 R$42.0M
FY25 R$1.2B

ENEV3 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eneva S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENEV3

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.94× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 24.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 29 · sector 0
PAST 35 · sector 33
HEALTH 53 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eneva S.A (ENEV3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$9.26 versus a price of R$26.60, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENEV3?
Our model-based fair value for Eneva S.A is R$9.26 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$26.60.
What is the quality score of ENEV3?
Eneva S.A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eneva S.A (ENEV3)?
Eneva S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$18.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENEV3?
The net profit margin of Eneva S.A is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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