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Equatorial S.A (EQUEY) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $9.4B

ES Equatorial S.A logo Equatorial S.A EQUEY · US
Price$7.54
Fair Value$4.51
Upside-40.2%
Quality40/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $3.29 – $5.81 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $4.54 to $4.51 (−0.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$9.59 $5.78 Fair Value $4.51 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $5.78 – $9.59 · fair‑value band $3.29 – $5.81 · the $7.54 price screens above the $4.51 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Equatorial S.A (EQUEY) currently trades at $7.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.51, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Equatorial S.A generated revenue of $53.4B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $53.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.29 (bear case) to $5.81 (bull case); at $7.54, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -40%, EQUEY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $53.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow −$4.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 39.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1900
Dividend yield 5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -24.0%
Net debt $53.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Equatorial S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, distribution, and commercialization of energy in Brazil. The company is also involved in sanitation activities, such as water supply and sewage services; sewer connections, water meter installation, water connections, and reconnections; and construction related to works or improvements. In addition, it provides telephone service and internet telecommunications integration. The company was formerly known as Equatorial Energia S.A. and changed its name to Equatorial S.A. in August 2024. Equatorial S.A. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in São Luís, Brazil.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Equatorial S.A reported revenue of $49.3B in FY2025 versus $23.6B in FY2021, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding −18.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +20.2%/yr
FY21 $23.6B
FY22 $26.2B
FY23 $41.0B
FY24 $43.2B
FY25 $49.3B
Net income −18.3%/yr
FY21 $3.7B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equatorial S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EQUEY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $86.08 $30.24 -65%
The Southern Company T1SO34 R$454.02 R$210.59 -54%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $121.82 $63.83 -48%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 36,339 ARS -41%
American Electric Power Company A1EP34 R$356.40 R$50.26 -86%
Dominion Energy, Inc D1OM34 R$172.15 R$124.65 -28%
Xcel Energy Inc X1EL34 R$201.47 R$18.60 -91%
Exelon Corporation E1XC34 R$232.84 R$151.43 -35%
WEC Energy Group W1EC34 R$282.75 R$172.50 -39%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹361.65 ₹135.86 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Equatorial S.A (EQUEY) undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.51 versus a price of $7.54, about −40% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EQUEY?
Our model-based fair value for Equatorial S.A is $4.51 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.54.
What is the quality score of EQUEY?
Equatorial S.A has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Equatorial S.A (EQUEY)?
Equatorial S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EQUEY?
The net profit margin of Equatorial S.A is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Equatorial S.A pay a dividend?
Equatorial S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.