ES Energy Save Holding (ESGR-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 123M SEK (≈ $12.9M) · ISIN SE0014428447
What is ES Energy Save Holding really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 16% above our fair value of kr 12.60.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (kr 8.32 to kr 15.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 10.40 – kr 57.30 · fair‑value band kr 8.32 – kr 15.75 · the kr 14.60 price screens above the kr 12.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ES Energy Save Holding (ESGR-B) currently trades at kr 14.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 12.60, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, ES Energy Save Holding generated revenue of 194M SEK at a net margin of −12.0%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −14.1%. Net debt stands at 2.0M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 8.32 (bear case) to kr 15.75 (bull case); at kr 14.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −14%, ESGR-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ES Energy Save Holding AB (publ) develops heat pumps for commercial buildings. The company offers plug-in modules, ventilation systems, hybrid energy systems, and calculation and design tools for commercial properties; heat pumps, multifunction tanks, control systems, and accessories for residential properties; and R290 propane heat pumps.
Full company description
ES Energy Save Holding AB (publ) develops heat pumps for commercial buildings. The company offers plug-in modules, ventilation systems, hybrid energy systems, and calculation and design tools for commercial properties; heat pumps, multifunction tanks, control systems, and accessories for residential properties; and R290 propane heat pumps. It also provides service, repair, installation, and aftermarket services. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Alingsås, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ES Energy Save Holding reported revenue of 186M SEK in FY2026 versus 55.1M SEK in FY2021, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −22.8M SEK in FY2026.
ESGR-B screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 242 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.23 | $44.75 | −69% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | −23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
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